Staple Signals Français

Home › Burkina Faso

Beans (niebe) in Namouno (CBM)

EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 68% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

59.1–136

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

63.6–166

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 68% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 13% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 59.1 and 136 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 63.6 and 166 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Namouno (CBM): XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 68% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 13% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 59.1 and 136 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 63.6 and 166 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 99.1–131 111 84–156 368 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 70.4–139 97.7 42.6–146 256 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 59.1–136 90.1 29.7–155 211 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 56.4–143 90.4 27.2–167 235 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 63.6–166 101 31–215 273 –
Price history (138 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026102
Aug 2026109
Jul 2026108
Jun 2026113
May 2026125
Apr 2026124
Mar 2026123
Feb 2026122
Jan 2026122
Dec 2025161
Nov 2025193
Oct 2025246
Sept 2025285
Aug 2025311
Jul 2025310
Jun 2025310
May 2025401
Apr 2025388
Mar 2025357
Feb 2025338
Jan 2025343
Dec 2024300
Nov 2024301
Oct 2024451
Sept 2024545
Aug 2024525
Jul 2024483
Jun 2024429
May 2024429
Apr 2024422
Mar 2024405
Feb 2024406
Jan 2024340
Dec 2023280
Nov 2023257
Oct 2023260
Sept 2023563
Aug 2023534
Jul 2023523
Jun 2023474
May 2023457
Apr 2023480
Mar 2023479
Feb 2023494
Jan 2023508
Dec 2022446
Nov 2022367
Oct 2022567
Sept 2022689
Aug 2022645
Jul 2022656
Jun 2022628
May 2022627
Apr 2022609
Mar 2022587
Feb 2022533
Jan 2022447
Dec 2021295
Nov 2021270
Oct 2021377
Sept 2021577
Aug 2021598
Jul 2021509
Jun 2021504
May 2021448
Mar 2021443
Feb 2021386
Jan 2021376
Dec 2020309
Nov 2020301
Oct 2020328
Sept 2020424
Aug 2020438
Jul 2020438
Jun 2020376
May 2020397
Apr 2020377
Mar 2020342
Feb 2020354
Jan 2020342
Dec 2019226
Nov 2019137
Oct 2019137
Sept 2019212
Aug 2019291
Jul 2019361
Jun 2019390
May 2019361
Apr 2019361
Mar 2019361
Feb 2019361
Jan 2019361
Dec 2018368
Nov 2018265
Oct 2018307
Sept 2018412
Aug 2018397
Jul 2018426
Jun 2018433
May 2018433
Apr 2018419
Mar 2018433
Feb 2018406
Jan 2018311
Dec 2017271
Nov 2017271
Oct 2017280
Sept 2017415
Aug 2017397
Jul 2017361
Jun 2017361
May 2017361
Apr 2017356
Mar 2017349
Feb 2017325
Jan 2017253
Dec 2016217
Nov 2016203
Oct 2016266
Sept 2016439
Aug 2016352
Jul 2016310
Jun 2016298
May 2016289
Apr 2016289
Mar 2016325
Feb 2016271
Dec 2015217
Nov 2015235
Oct 2015181
Sept 2015397
Aug 2015352
Jul 2015361
Jun 2015361
May 2015361
Apr 2015361
Mar 2015385
Feb 2015370

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-1043-120-retail-kg.