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Maize (white) in Namouno (CBM)

EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 52% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

36.7–72.5

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

39–80.9

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 52% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 2% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 36.7 and 72.5 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 39.0 and 80.9 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Namouno (CBM): XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 52% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 2% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 36.7 and 72.5 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 39.0 and 80.9 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).050100150202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 56.5–75.8 65.2 45–78.8 134 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 40.6–73.3 55 27–83 98.7 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 36.7–72.5 51.7 25.6–92.7 85.5 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 35.9–76.4 53.3 22.9–102 95.9 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 39–80.9 56.2 25.4–120 103 –
Price history (139 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 202664
Aug 202664
Jul 202663
Jun 202663
May 202663
Apr 202675
Mar 202679
Feb 202679
Jan 202677
Dec 202577
Nov 202581
Oct 202582
Sept 2025110
Aug 2025142
Jul 2025141
Jun 2025141
May 2025139
Apr 2025131
Mar 2025122
Feb 2025110
Jan 2025100
Dec 202483
Nov 202477
Oct 2024112
Sept 2024126
Aug 2024126
Jul 2024126
Jun 2024113
May 2024110
Apr 2024126
Mar 2024123
Feb 2024122
Jan 2024122
Dec 2023111
Nov 202396
Oct 2023154
Sept 2023200
Aug 2023207
Jul 2023198
Jun 2023148
May 2023147
Apr 2023159
Mar 2023163
Feb 2023179
Jan 2023203
Dec 2022232
Nov 2022171
Oct 2022240
Sept 2022279
Aug 2022277
Jul 2022276
Jun 2022268
May 2022236
Apr 2022240
Mar 2022217
Feb 2022200
Jan 2022160
Dec 2021164
Nov 2021139
Oct 2021148
Sept 2021202
Aug 2021228
Jul 2021212
Jun 2021197
May 2021185
Apr 2021185
Mar 2021184
Feb 2021173
Jan 2021118
Dec 2020109
Nov 2020109
Oct 2020111
Sept 2020182
Aug 2020176
Jul 2020134
Jun 2020117
May 2020154
Apr 2020150
Mar 2020113
Feb 2020113
Jan 2020113
Dec 2019113
Nov 201980
Oct 201975
Sept 2019105
Aug 2019112
Jul 2019123
Jun 2019148
May 2019161
Apr 2019148
Mar 2019148
Feb 2019143
Jan 2019134
Dec 2018114
Nov 2018111
Oct 2018129
Sept 2018185
Aug 2018175
Jul 2018185
Jun 2018189
May 2018180
Apr 2018170
Mar 2018166
Feb 2018171
Jan 2018185
Dec 2017135
Nov 2017111
Oct 2017115
Sept 2017166
Aug 2017185
Jul 2017162
Jun 2017160
May 2017148
Apr 2017148
Mar 2017148
Feb 2017129
Jan 201792
Dec 201692
Nov 201697
Oct 2016101
Sept 2016143
Aug 2016143
Jul 2016129
Jun 2016138
May 2016120
Apr 2016143
Mar 2016148
Feb 2016129
Nov 2015101
Oct 201592
Sept 2015176
Aug 2015157
Jul 2015148
Jun 2015135
May 2015141
Apr 2015117
Mar 2015111
Feb 2015111
Jan 2015138

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-1043-67-retail-kg.