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Millet in Namouno (CBM)

EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 57% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

34.8–78.8

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

33.1–89

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 57% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 34.8 and 78.8 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 33.1 and 89.0 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Namouno (CBM): XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 57% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 34.8 and 78.8 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 33.1 and 89.0 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 53.3–78.4 65.2 43–92 138 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 42.4–78 58.7 29.3–109 115 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 34.8–78.8 53.2 19.3–121 96.3 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 31.9–84.6 54.8 13.7–138 106 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 33.1–89 57.6 14–143 114 –
Price history (138 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 202664
Aug 202664
Jul 202663
Jun 202664
May 202664
Apr 202679
Mar 202680
Feb 202678
Jan 202689
Dec 202595
Nov 202594
Oct 202595
Sept 2025128
Aug 2025159
Jul 2025158
Jun 2025207
May 2025156
Apr 2025151
Mar 2025136
Feb 2025123
Jan 202593
Dec 202492
Nov 202492
Oct 2024117
Sept 2024152
Aug 2024159
Jul 2024190
May 2024125
Apr 2024125
Mar 2024136
Feb 2024153
Jan 2024153
Dec 2023146
Nov 2023127
Oct 2023183
Sept 2023218
Aug 2023233
Jul 2023225
Jun 2023197
May 2023213
Apr 2023225
Mar 2023225
Feb 2023224
Jan 2023250
Dec 2022257
Nov 2022206
Oct 2022268
Sept 2022323
Aug 2022341
Jul 2022327
Jun 2022278
May 2022277
Apr 2022252
Mar 2022237
Feb 2022199
Jan 2022188
Dec 2021190
Nov 2021193
Oct 2021211
Sept 2021256
Aug 2021343
Jul 2021203
Jun 2021283
May 2021250
Apr 2021246
Mar 2021247
Feb 2021194
Jan 2021150
Dec 2020141
Nov 2020134
Oct 2020159
Sept 2020239
Aug 2020247
Jul 2020230
Jun 2020212
May 2020175
Apr 2020175
Mar 2020175
Feb 2020175
Jan 2020175
Dec 2019140
Nov 2019105
Oct 2019123
Sept 2019105
Aug 2019127
Jul 2019194
Jun 2019246
May 2019246
Apr 2019211
Mar 2019208
Feb 2019211
Jan 2019220
Dec 2018151
Nov 2018128
Oct 2018238
Sept 2018225
Aug 2018251
Jul 2018268
Jun 2018273
May 2018255
Apr 2018246
Mar 2018246
Feb 2018246
Jan 2018238
Dec 2017211
Nov 2017211
Oct 2017176
Sept 2017211
Aug 2017246
Jul 2017197
Jun 2017176
May 2017176
Apr 2017172
Mar 2017176
Feb 2017150
Jan 2017121
Dec 2016120
Nov 2016106
Oct 2016114
Sept 2016150
Aug 2016141
Jul 2016141
Jun 2016150
May 2016128
Apr 2016141
Mar 2016141
Feb 2016135
Nov 2015172
Oct 2015123
Sept 2015176
Aug 2015167
Jul 2015158
Jun 2015170
May 2015176
Apr 2015176
Mar 2015176
Feb 2015176
Jan 2015176

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-1043-73-retail-kg.