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Beans (niebe) in Banfora

CASCADES, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 27% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

317–540

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

307–608

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 8% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 317 and 540 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 307 and 608 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Banfora: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 8% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 317 and 540 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 307 and 608 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02505007501,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 418–494 447 345–541 638 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 376–524 447 264–621 599 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 317–540 414 188–660 529 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 305–562 422 158–682 546 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 307–608 446 165–654 578 –
Price history (135 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026477
Aug 2026449
Jul 2026464
Jun 2026471
May 2026487
Apr 2026466
Mar 2026457
Feb 2026470
Jan 2026483
Dec 2025457
Nov 2025446
Oct 2025510
Sept 2025556
Aug 2025642
Jul 2025676
Jun 2025725
May 2025803
Apr 2025724
Mar 2025682
Feb 2025681
Jan 2025669
Dec 2024568
Nov 2024512
Oct 2024632
Sept 2024846
Aug 2024760
Jun 2024589
May 2024581
Apr 2024581
Mar 2024525
Feb 2024469
Jan 2024470
Dec 2023400
Nov 2023370
Oct 2023405
Sept 2023430
Aug 2023476
Jul 2023450
Jun 2023436
May 2023439
Apr 2023434
Mar 2023393
Feb 2023403
Jan 2023412
Dec 2022538
Nov 2022526
Oct 2022570
Sept 2022609
Aug 2022630
Jul 2022668
Jun 2022680
May 2022655
Apr 2022658
Mar 2022602
Feb 2022630
Jan 2022580
Dec 2021552
Nov 2021496
Oct 2021476
Sept 2021651
Aug 2021515
Jul 2021517
Jun 2021502
May 2021459
Apr 2021453
Mar 2021422
Feb 2021394
Jan 2021374
Dec 2020337
Nov 2020326
Oct 2020364
Sept 2020340
Aug 2020343
Jul 2020351
Jun 2020331
May 2020332
Apr 2020332
Mar 2020329
Feb 2020301
Jan 2020318
Dec 2019265
Nov 2019262
Oct 2019414
Sept 2019271
Aug 2019281
Jul 2019330
Jun 2019351
May 2019361
Apr 2019361
Mar 2019379
Feb 2019389
Jan 2019310
Dec 2018310
Nov 2018326
Oct 2018389
Sept 2018425
Aug 2018420
Jul 2018409
Jun 2018409
May 2018409
Apr 2018393
Mar 2018382
Feb 2018402
Jan 2018368
Dec 2017336
Nov 2017329
Oct 2017332
Sept 2017371
Aug 2017401
Jul 2017392
Jun 2017381
May 2017408
Apr 2017403
Mar 2017374
Feb 2017348
Jan 2017343
Dec 2016331
Nov 2016339
Oct 2016349
Sept 2016385
Aug 2016403
Jun 2016403
May 2016417
Apr 2016393
Mar 2016332
Feb 2016316
Jan 2016285
Dec 2015313
Nov 2015289
Oct 2015340
Sept 2015344
Aug 2015330
Jul 2015335
Jun 2015335
May 2015333

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-129-120-retail-kg.