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Beans (niebe) in Bousse

PLATEAU-CENTRAL, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 25% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

241–397

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

249–448

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 25% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 12% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 241 and 397 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 249 and 448 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Bousse: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 25% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 12% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 241 and 397 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 249 and 448 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 296–365 324 279–416 459 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 270–392 324 232–476 441 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 241–397 312 172–477 401 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 232–414 314 160–494 407 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 249–448 326 192–470 451 –
Price history (134 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026358
Aug 2026326
Jul 2026334
Jun 2026343
May 2026370
Apr 2026393
Mar 2026405
Feb 2026388
Jan 2026372
Dec 2025372
Nov 2025358
Oct 2025358
Sept 2025376
Aug 2025441
Jul 2025507
Jun 2025497
May 2025514
Apr 2025577
Mar 2025579
Feb 2025584
Jan 2025590
Dec 2024443
Nov 2024426
Oct 2024500
Sept 2024715
Aug 2024584
Jul 2024506
Jun 2024505
May 2024486
Apr 2024425
Mar 2024396
Dec 2023270
Nov 2023271
Oct 2023279
Sept 2023281
Aug 2023243
Jul 2023244
Jun 2023274
May 2023298
Apr 2023294
Mar 2023302
Feb 2023312
Jan 2023294
Dec 2022315
Nov 2022327
Oct 2022397
Sept 2022400
Aug 2022418
Jul 2022425
Jun 2022458
May 2022467
Apr 2022457
Mar 2022482
Feb 2022463
Jan 2022459
Dec 2021429
Nov 2021438
Oct 2021411
Sept 2021536
Aug 2021478
Jul 2021439
Jun 2021375
May 2021357
Apr 2021357
Mar 2021357
Feb 2021321
Jan 2021268
Dec 2020282
Nov 2020268
Oct 2020268
Sept 2020268
Aug 2020244
Jul 2020250
Jun 2020246
May 2020232
Apr 2020232
Mar 2020232
Feb 2020241
Jan 2020250
Dec 2019192
Nov 2019179
Oct 2019310
Sept 2019179
Aug 2019185
Jul 2019215
Jun 2019246
May 2019250
Apr 2019259
Mar 2019286
Feb 2019270
Jan 2019274
Dec 2018274
Nov 2018277
Oct 2018296
Sept 2018342
Aug 2018357
Jul 2018346
Jun 2018351
May 2018332
Apr 2018336
Mar 2018357
Feb 2018340
Jan 2018323
Dec 2017293
Nov 2017283
Oct 2017275
Sept 2017296
Aug 2017317
Jul 2017302
Jun 2017296
May 2017289
Apr 2017294
Mar 2017286
Feb 2017298
Jan 2017266
Dec 2016247
Nov 2016251
Oct 2016257
Sept 2016271
Aug 2016292
Jun 2016288
May 2016292
Apr 2016285
Mar 2016280
Feb 2016277
Jan 2016261
Dec 2015242
Nov 2015231
Oct 2015220
Sept 2015279
Aug 2015272
Jul 2015243
Jun 2015243
May 2015239

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-130-120-retail-kg.