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Maize (white) in Bousse

PLATEAU-CENTRAL, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 34% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

152–200

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

138–207

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 34% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 152 and 200 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 138 and 207 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Bousse: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 34% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 152 and 200 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 138 and 207 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 171–193 180 159–201 284 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 166–198 181 146–202 278 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 152–200 180 111–218 260 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 144–200 179 107–203 256 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 138–207 179 92.5–235 257 –
Price history (172 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026177
Aug 2026178
Jul 2026177
Jun 2026177
May 2026177
Apr 2026177
Mar 2026163
Feb 2026189
Jan 2026213
Dec 2025215
Nov 2025220
Oct 2025243
Sept 2025256
Aug 2025269
Jul 2025283
Jun 2025274
May 2025275
Apr 2025276
Mar 2025276
Feb 2025277
Jan 2025259
Dec 2024263
Nov 2024268
Oct 2024304
Sept 2024307
Aug 2024316
Jul 2024277
Jun 2024245
May 2024245
Apr 2024227
Mar 2024227
Dec 2023225
Nov 2023225
Oct 2023251
Sept 2023249
Aug 2023244
Jul 2023244
Jun 2023248
May 2023260
Apr 2023260
Mar 2023260
Feb 2023257
Jan 2023243
Dec 2022248
Nov 2022254
Oct 2022279
Sept 2022284
Aug 2022294
Jul 2022294
Jun 2022294
May 2022297
Apr 2022299
Mar 2022271
Feb 2022243
Jan 2022243
Dec 2021237
Nov 2021237
Oct 2021232
Sept 2021241
Aug 2021232
Jul 2021223
Jun 2021214
May 2021210
Apr 2021201
Mar 2021185
Feb 2021179
Jan 2021179
Dec 2020179
Nov 2020179
Oct 2020190
Sept 2020179
Aug 2020173
Jul 2020154
Jun 2020152
May 2020152
Apr 2020152
Mar 2020149
Feb 2020154
Jan 2020152
Dec 2019143
Nov 2019156
Oct 2019161
Sept 2019161
Aug 2019161
Jul 2019167
Jun 2019161
May 2019161
Apr 2019173
Mar 2019179
Feb 2019179
Jan 2019179
Dec 2018179
Nov 2018179
Oct 2018179
Sept 2018196
Aug 2018196
Jul 2018202
Jun 2018199
May 2018186
Apr 2018187
Mar 2018176
Feb 2018171
Jan 2018167
Dec 2017167
Nov 2017167
Oct 2017186
Sept 2017196
Aug 2017181
Jul 2017179
Jun 2017179
May 2017179
Apr 2017176
Mar 2017159
Feb 2017161
Jan 2017161
Dec 2016161
Nov 2016160
Oct 2016170
Sept 2016174
Aug 2016174
Jul 2016167
Jun 2016167
May 2016167
Apr 2016172
Mar 2016162
Feb 2016165
Jan 2016161
Dec 2015188
Nov 2015197
Oct 2015194
Sept 2015188
Aug 2015188
Jul 2015158
Jun 2015143
May 2015142
Apr 2015142
Mar 2015156
Feb 2015161
Jan 2015147
Dec 2014157
Nov 2014141
Oct 2014163
Sept 2014150
Jul 2014142
Jun 2014142
May 2014146
Apr 2014157
Mar 2014150
Feb 2014161
Dec 2013151
Nov 2013161
Oct 2013158
Sept 2013158
Aug 2013158
Jul 2013163
Jun 2013158
May 2013156
Apr 2013157
Mar 2013160
Feb 2013171
Jan 2013169
Dec 2012171
Nov 2012184
Oct 2012184
Sept 2012211
Aug 2012209
Jul 2012201
Jun 2012196
May 2012198
Apr 2012201
Mar 2012182
Feb 2012179

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-130-67-retail-kg.