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Food basket in Bousse

PLATEAU-CENTRAL, Burkina Faso · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe).

Not included: cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,754–4,232

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,439–4,348

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 3,275 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,754 and 4,232 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,439 and 4,348 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Bousse: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 3,275 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,754 and 4,232 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,439 and 4,348 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,0008,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 3,076–3,740 3,292 2,990–4,285
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,933–4,039 3,273 2,745–4,856
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,754–4,232 3,257 2,508–4,844
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,637–4,428 3,279 2,369–5,755
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,439–4,348 3,280 1,545–5,498
Cost history (134 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20263,620
Aug 20263,275
Jul 20263,289
Jun 20263,329
May 20263,558
Apr 20263,635
Mar 20263,933
Feb 20263,986
Jan 20263,778
Dec 20253,982
Nov 20254,040
Oct 20254,028
Sept 20254,145
Aug 20254,190
Jul 20254,525
Jun 20254,651
May 20254,705
Apr 20255,395
Mar 20255,542
Feb 20255,419
Jan 20255,286
Dec 20245,921
Nov 20245,891
Oct 20246,048
Sept 20246,831
Aug 20246,271
Jul 20244,799
Jun 20244,653
May 20244,547
Apr 20244,401
Mar 20244,385
Dec 20234,014
Nov 20234,076
Oct 20234,066
Sept 20233,902
Aug 20233,857
Jul 20233,751
Jun 20234,009
May 20234,292
Apr 20234,417
Mar 20234,564
Feb 20234,510
Jan 20234,297
Dec 20224,875
Nov 20225,653
Oct 20225,947
Sept 20225,688
Aug 20225,000
Jul 20224,929
Jun 20224,976
May 20224,933
Apr 20224,891
Mar 20224,480
Feb 20224,205
Jan 20224,054
Dec 20213,964
Nov 20213,572
Oct 20213,308
Sept 20213,749
Aug 20213,644
Jul 20213,466
Jun 20213,543
May 20213,643
Apr 20213,643
Mar 20213,067
Feb 20212,726
Jan 20212,630
Dec 20202,740
Nov 20202,750
Oct 20202,978
Sept 20202,630
Aug 20202,587
Jul 20203,666
Jun 20202,855
May 20202,350
Apr 20202,350
Mar 20202,566
Feb 20202,390
Jan 20202,382
Dec 20192,110
Nov 20192,194
Oct 20192,490
Sept 20192,254
Aug 20192,265
Jul 20192,391
Jun 20192,375
May 20192,382
Apr 20192,398
Mar 20193,083
Feb 20193,126
Jan 20193,493
Dec 20183,493
Nov 20183,283
Oct 20183,317
Sept 20183,784
Aug 20183,859
Jul 20184,031
Jun 20183,992
May 20183,706
Apr 20183,581
Mar 20183,655
Feb 20183,516
Jan 20183,461
Dec 20173,227
Nov 20173,485
Oct 20173,927
Sept 20173,581
Aug 20173,379
Jul 20173,004
Jun 20173,149
May 20173,148
Apr 20173,133
Mar 20173,095
Feb 20172,888
Jan 20172,699
Dec 20162,593
Nov 20162,864
Oct 20162,683
Sept 20162,540
Aug 20162,578
Jun 20162,546
May 20162,506
Apr 20162,637
Mar 20162,640
Feb 20162,491
Jan 20162,462
Dec 20152,812
Nov 20153,056
Oct 20152,976
Sept 20152,986
Aug 20152,986
Jul 20152,801
Jun 20152,705
May 20152,626

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burkina Faso

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 83% 96% 4% 2,526
Estimate (this month) 81% 96% 7% 2,519
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,515
In 2 months 79% 94% 13% 2,512
In 3 months 78% 94% 17% 2,508