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Beans (niebe) in Diebougou

SUD-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 19% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

314–513

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

319–564

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 19% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 4% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 314 and 513 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 319 and 564 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Diebougou: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 19% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 4% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 314 and 513 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 319 and 564 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 406–486 447 387–508 585 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 363–508 447 335–538 545 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 314–513 400 260–529 471 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 303–535 414 215–586 488 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 319–564 431 243–582 514 –
Price history (136 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026419
Aug 2026454
Jul 2026474
Jun 2026479
May 2026472
Apr 2026448
Mar 2026454
Feb 2026462
Jan 2026407
Dec 2025432
Nov 2025500
Oct 2025531
Sept 2025577
Aug 2025540
Jul 2025653
Jun 2025667
May 2025712
Apr 2025719
Mar 2025704
Feb 2025692
Jan 2025645
Dec 2024628
Nov 2024536
Oct 2024714
Sept 2024815
Aug 2024703
Jul 2024571
Jun 2024548
May 2024538
Apr 2024538
Mar 2024538
Feb 2024484
Jan 2024423
Dec 2023360
Nov 2023336
Oct 2023320
Sept 2023323
Aug 2023323
Jul 2023312
Jun 2023302
May 2023323
Apr 2023419
Mar 2023403
Feb 2023408
Jan 2023403
Dec 2022396
Nov 2022423
Oct 2022519
Sept 2022563
Aug 2022604
Jul 2022607
Jun 2022614
May 2022600
Apr 2022590
Mar 2022559
Feb 2022496
Jan 2022426
Dec 2021384
Nov 2021397
Oct 2021423
Sept 2021423
Aug 2021423
Jul 2021423
Jun 2021423
May 2021432
Apr 2021365
Mar 2021351
Feb 2021324
Jan 2021324
Dec 2020317
Nov 2020301
Oct 2020355
Sept 2020394
Aug 2020370
Jul 2020362
Jun 2020338
May 2020335
Apr 2020335
Mar 2020329
Feb 2020337
Jan 2020313
Dec 2019281
Nov 2019250
Oct 2019329
Sept 2019288
Aug 2019301
Jul 2019317
Jun 2019356
May 2019349
Apr 2019366
Mar 2019343
Feb 2019311
Jan 2019263
Dec 2018263
Nov 2018248
Oct 2018313
Sept 2018394
Aug 2018407
Jul 2018398
Jun 2018396
May 2018376
Apr 2018400
Mar 2018384
Feb 2018387
Jan 2018380
Dec 2017354
Nov 2017331
Oct 2017366
Sept 2017410
Aug 2017410
Jul 2017401
Jun 2017406
May 2017396
Apr 2017405
Mar 2017387
Feb 2017365
Jan 2017355
Dec 2016335
Nov 2016309
Oct 2016346
Sept 2016380
Aug 2016399
Jun 2016355
May 2016358
Apr 2016359
Mar 2016333
Feb 2016308
Jan 2016283
Dec 2015279
Nov 2015265
Oct 2015245
Sept 2015305
Aug 2015317
Jul 2015326
Jun 2015313
May 2015319

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-131-120-retail-kg.