Staple Signals Français

Home › Burkina Faso

Rice (imported) in Diebougou

SUD-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 15% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

467–555

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

430–593

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 15% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For rice, across 63 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 467 and 555 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 430 and 593 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Rice (imported), Diebougou: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 15% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For rice, across 63 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 467 and 555 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 430 and 593 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 886); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 487–529 500 455–587 608 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 477–537 501 430–648 609 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 467–555 498 418–671 606 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 455–579 498 398–767 605 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 430–593 502 338–886 586 –
Price history (77 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026538
Aug 2026500
Jul 2026500
Jun 2026500
May 2026500
Apr 2026500
Mar 2026500
Feb 2026500
Jan 2026500
Dec 2025600
Nov 2025600
Oct 2025600
Sept 2025600
Aug 2025583
Jul 2025600
Jun 2025600
May 2025600
Apr 2025600
Mar 2025600
Feb 2025600
Jan 2025610
Dec 2024614
Nov 2024610
Oct 2024633
Sept 2024650
Aug 2024638
Jul 2024650
Jun 2024650
May 2024569
Apr 2024475
Mar 2024475
Feb 2024450
Jan 2024450
Dec 2023450
Nov 2023450
Oct 2023450
Sept 2023450
Aug 2023450
Jul 2023450
Jun 2023450
May 2023450
Apr 2023450
Mar 2023450
Feb 2023450
Jan 2023450
Dec 2022450
Nov 2022450
Oct 2022450
Sept 2022450
Aug 2022450
Jul 2022450
Jun 2022463
May 2022440
Apr 2022450
Mar 2022450
Jan 2022450
Dec 2021431
Nov 2021431
Oct 2021430
Sept 2021425
Aug 2021425
Jul 2021425
Jun 2021400
May 2021414
Apr 2021410
Mar 2021413
Feb 2021408
Jan 2021400
Dec 2020417
Nov 2020423
Oct 2020422
Sept 2020413
Aug 2020418
Jul 2020413
Jun 2020413
May 2020445
Apr 2020445

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-131-64-retail-kg.