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Beans (niebe) in Djibo

SAHEL, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 28% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

473–751

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

490–877

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 28% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 473 and 751 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 490 and 877 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Djibo: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 28% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 473 and 751 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 490 and 877 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02505007501,0001,250202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 564–699 635 546–707 913 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 470–716 588 428–777 754 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 473–751 615 337–802 841 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 474–809 611 389–978 878 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 490–877 629 479–918 921 –
Price history (122 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026622
Aug 2026632
Jul 2026635
Jun 2026632
May 2026632
Apr 2026628
Mar 2026625
Feb 2026622
Nov 2025811
Oct 2025824
Sept 2025820
Aug 2025824
Jul 2025815
Mar 2025829
Feb 2025824
Jan 2025820
Dec 2024824
Jul 2024707
Jun 2024692
May 2024694
Apr 2024552
Feb 2024870
Jan 2024747
Dec 2023720
Nov 2023733
Oct 2023738
Sept 2023749
Aug 2023782
Jul 2023783
Jun 2023751
May 2023694
Apr 2023638
Jan 20231,350
Dec 20221,343
Nov 20221,178
Sept 2022709
Aug 2022680
Jul 2022676
Jun 2022660
Apr 2022615
Mar 2022536
Feb 2022463
Jan 2022452
Dec 2021438
Nov 2021432
Oct 2021439
Sept 2021522
Aug 2021468
Jul 2021417
Jun 2021401
May 2021377
Apr 2021349
Mar 2021341
Feb 2021326
Jan 2021287
Dec 2020282
Nov 2020269
Oct 2020260
Sept 2020305
Aug 2020316
Jul 2020323
Jun 2020319
May 2020325
Apr 2020325
Mar 2020299
Feb 2020283
Jan 2020223
Dec 2019203
Nov 2019202
Oct 2019260
Sept 2019235
Aug 2019282
Jul 2019293
Jun 2019314
May 2019320
Apr 2019323
Mar 2019317
Feb 2019294
Jan 2019253
Dec 2018253
Nov 2018256
Oct 2018260
Sept 2018339
Aug 2018390
Jul 2018381
Jun 2018382
May 2018393
Apr 2018380
Mar 2018376
Feb 2018374
Jan 2018341
Dec 2017264
Nov 2017278
Oct 2017299
Sept 2017335
Aug 2017380
Jul 2017374
Jun 2017376
May 2017378
Apr 2017380
Mar 2017372
Feb 2017340
Jan 2017318
Dec 2016318
Nov 2016279
Oct 2016189
Sept 2016369
Aug 2016390
Jun 2016379
May 2016370
Apr 2016346
Mar 2016333
Feb 2016317
Jan 2016282
Dec 2015269
Nov 2015267
Oct 2015253
Sept 2015306
Aug 2015290
Jul 201586Data error
Jun 2015286
May 2015276

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-132-120-retail-kg.