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Rice (imported) in Djibo

SAHEL, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 22% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

489–859

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

522–1,017

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

4%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 22% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For rice, across 63 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 489 and 859 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 522 and 1,017 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Rice (imported), Djibo: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 22% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For rice, across 63 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 489 and 859 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 522 and 1,017 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).05001,0001,500202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 1,547); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 562–685 607 538–787 826 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 515–748 610 458–953 808 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 489–859 616 325–1,382 871 4%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 481–931 640 308–1,444 942 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 522–1,017 676 471–1,547 1,016 –
Price history (66 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026600
Aug 2026600
Jul 2026600
Jun 2026600
May 2026600
Apr 2026600
Mar 2026613
Feb 2026600
Nov 2025908
Oct 2025825
Sept 2025750
Aug 2025750
Jul 2025750
May 2025756
Apr 2025756
Mar 2025754
Feb 2025754
Jan 2025754
Dec 2024754
Jul 2024748
Jun 2024702
May 2024670
Apr 2024647
Jan 2024733
Dec 2023681
Nov 2023717
Oct 2023713
Sept 2023707
Aug 2023722
Jul 2023708
Jun 20231,003
May 2023725
Apr 2023644
Mar 2023465
Jan 20231,290
Dec 20221,182
Nov 2022698
Sept 2022669
Aug 2022584
Jul 2022666
Jun 2022521
Apr 2022472
Mar 2022449
Feb 2022422
Jan 2022421
Dec 2021421
Nov 2021420
Oct 2021410
Sept 2021396
Aug 2021396
Jul 2021395
Jun 2021397
May 2021586
Apr 2021536
Mar 2021585
Feb 2021584
Jan 2021491
Dec 2020396
Nov 2020396
Oct 2020396
Sept 2020413
Aug 2020421
Jul 2020420
Jun 2020421
May 2020402
Apr 2020402

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-132-64-retail-kg.