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Beans (niebe) in Dori

SAHEL, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 9% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

425–702

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

432–753

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

13%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 9% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 9% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 425 and 702 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 432 and 753 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 13%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Dori: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 9% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 9% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 425 and 702 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 432 and 753 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 13%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02505007501,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 527–656 599 483–716 655 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 460–678 568 347–752 602 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 425–702 529 310–856 581 13%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 410–724 529 294–894 582 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 432–753 563 326–814 632 –
Price history (136 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026580
Aug 2026611
Jul 2026592
Jun 2026555
May 2026562
Apr 2026580
Mar 2026580
Feb 2026588
Jan 2026580
Dec 2025562
Nov 2025520
Oct 2025543
Sept 2025586
Aug 2025706
Jul 2025639
Jun 2025597
May 2025600
Apr 2025567
Mar 2025607
Feb 2025536
Jan 2025478
Dec 2024438
Nov 2024449
Oct 2024559
Sept 2024675
Aug 2024643
Jul 2024623
Jun 2024642
May 2024635
Apr 2024598
Mar 2024575
Feb 2024475
Jan 2024431
Dec 2023427
Nov 2023414
Oct 2023423
Sept 2023479
Aug 2023501
Jul 2023479
Jun 2023479
May 2023479
Apr 2023487
Mar 2023503
Feb 2023564
Jan 2023654
Dec 2022563
Nov 2022602
Oct 2022559
Sept 2022700
Aug 2022697
Jul 2022674
Jun 2022578
May 2022674
Apr 2022696
Mar 2022674
Feb 2022664
Jan 2022639
Dec 2021533
Nov 2021589
Oct 2021546
Sept 2021451
Aug 2021421
Jul 2021410
Jun 2021365
May 2021391
Apr 2021386
Mar 2021356
Feb 2021400
Jan 2021320
Dec 2020331
Nov 2020299
Oct 2020321
Sept 2020337
Aug 2020391
Jul 2020452
Jun 2020429
May 2020377
Apr 2020377
Mar 2020403
Feb 2020375
Jan 2020358
Dec 2019340
Nov 2019334
Oct 2019366
Sept 2019313
Aug 2019369
Jul 2019356
Jun 2019361
May 2019365
Apr 2019365
Mar 2019371
Feb 2019359
Jan 2019340
Dec 2018340
Nov 2018343
Oct 2018362
Sept 2018394
Aug 2018403
Jul 2018394
Jun 2018400
May 2018389
Apr 2018378
Mar 2018375
Feb 2018389
Jan 2018384
Dec 2017376
Nov 2017330
Oct 2017310
Sept 2017356
Aug 2017364
Jul 2017364
Jun 2017390
May 2017364
Apr 2017366
Mar 2017363
Feb 2017350
Jan 2017326
Dec 2016235
Nov 2016273
Oct 2016289
Sept 2016396
Aug 2016446
Jun 2016389
May 2016370
Apr 2016373
Mar 2016405
Feb 2016365
Jan 2016396
Dec 2015451
Nov 2015434
Oct 2015453
Sept 2015522
Aug 2015531
Jul 2015504
Jun 2015504
May 2015477

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-133-120-retail-kg.