Staple Signals Français

Home › Burkina Faso

Maize (white) in Dori

SAHEL, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 18% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

231–322

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

208–351

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 18% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 231 and 322 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 208 and 351 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Dori: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 18% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 231 and 322 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 208 and 351 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 492); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 262–311 291 242–330 365 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 248–316 289 185–363 347 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 231–322 285 187–379 339 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 217–332 284 149–392 341 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 208–351 282 128–492 340 –
Price history (283 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026290
Aug 2026290
Jul 2026290
Jun 2026290
May 2026290
Apr 2026290
Mar 2026290
Feb 2026294
Jan 2026290
Dec 2025290
Nov 2025264
Oct 2025261
Sept 2025319
Aug 2025290
Jul 2025319
Jun 2025302
May 2025300
Apr 2025300
Mar 2025313
Feb 2025295
Jan 2025306
Dec 2024313
Nov 2024333
Oct 2024340
Sept 2024368
Aug 2024386
Jul 2024378
Jun 2024337
May 2024325
Apr 2024302
Mar 2024333
Feb 2024323
Jan 2024306
Dec 2023308
Nov 2023305
Oct 2023353
Sept 2023361
Aug 2023353
Jul 2023353
Jun 2023341
May 2023324
Apr 2023331
Mar 2023329
Feb 2023338
Jan 2023326
Dec 2022281
Nov 2022331
Oct 2022322
Sept 2022323
Aug 2022331
Jul 2022355
Jun 2022355
May 2022358
Apr 2022369
Mar 2022314
Feb 2022287
Jan 2022273
Dec 2021273
Nov 2021273
Oct 2021273
Sept 2021273
Aug 2021264
Jul 2021246
Jun 2021260
May 2021270
Apr 2021226
Mar 2021217
Feb 2021208
Jan 2021188
Dec 2020210
Nov 2020208
Oct 2020194
Sept 2020210
Aug 2020239
Jul 2020218
Jun 2020205
May 2020215
Apr 2020215
Mar 2020200
Feb 2020215
Jan 2020215
Dec 2019205
Nov 2019191
Oct 2019192
Sept 2019195
Aug 2019199
Jul 2019214
Jun 2019219
May 2019219
Apr 2019215
Mar 2019212
Feb 2019204
Jan 2019218
Dec 2018218
Nov 2018222
Oct 2018226
Sept 2018243
Aug 2018250
Jul 2018250
Jun 2018250
May 2018264
Apr 2018250
Mar 2018228
Feb 2018201
Jan 2018205
Dec 2017220
Nov 2017198
Oct 2017223
Sept 2017228
Aug 2017195
Jul 2017189
Jun 2017189
May 2017192
Apr 2017205
Mar 2017189
Feb 2017189
Jan 2017189
Dec 2016189
Nov 2016190
Oct 2016195
Sept 2016195
Aug 2016195
Jul 2016195
Jun 2016195
May 2016195
Apr 2016202
Mar 2016202
Feb 2016209
Jan 2016224
Dec 2015180
Nov 2015210
Oct 2015221
Sept 2015219
Aug 2015195
Jul 2015195
Jun 2015200
May 2015195
Apr 2015213
Mar 2015206
Feb 2015209
Jan 2015192
Dec 2014185
Nov 2014202
Oct 2014205
Sept 2014209
Jul 2014214
Jun 2014207
May 2014208
Apr 2014195
Mar 2014224
Feb 2014198
Dec 2013182
Nov 2013189
Oct 2013191
Sept 2013195
Aug 2013195
Jul 2013195
Jun 2013195
May 2013202
Apr 2013195
Mar 2013191
Feb 2013195
Jan 2013180
Dec 2012190
Nov 2012190
Oct 2012211
Sept 2012211
Aug 2012237
Jul 2012234
Jun 2012238
May 2012242
Apr 2012239
Mar 2012215
Feb 2012209
Jan 2012211
Dec 2011205
Nov 2011203
Oct 2011207
Sept 2011211
Aug 2011206
Jul 2011181
Jun 2011181
May 2011181
Apr 2011181
Mar 2011180
Feb 2011181
Jan 2011164
Dec 2010154
Nov 2010160
Oct 2010174
Sept 2010181
Aug 2010190
Jul 2010180
Jun 2010181
May 2010181
Apr 2010181
Mar 2010184
Feb 2010184
Jan 2010184
Dec 2009181
Nov 2009179
Oct 2009183
Sept 2009190
Aug 2009198
Jul 2009190
Jun 2009176
May 2009172
Apr 2009178
Mar 2009177
Feb 2009177
Jan 2009178
Dec 2008160
Nov 2008167
Oct 2008181
Sept 2008184
Aug 2008185
Jul 2008171
Jun 2008167
May 2008162
Apr 2008144
Mar 2008125
Feb 2008130
Jan 2008132
Dec 2007136
Nov 2007132
Oct 2007126
Sept 2007120
Aug 2007117
Jul 2007116
Jun 2007121
May 2007124
Apr 2007128
Mar 2007131
Feb 2007129
Jan 2007126
Dec 2006127
Nov 2006122
Oct 2006126
Sept 2006133
Aug 2006144
Jul 2006148
Jun 2006144
May 2006165
Apr 2006145
Mar 2006156
Feb 2006156
Jan 2006179
Dec 2005190
Nov 2005178
Oct 2005162
Sept 2005205
Aug 2005239
Jul 2005264
Jun 2005231
May 2005189
Apr 2005216
Mar 2005177
Feb 2005171
Jan 2005182
Dec 2004189
Nov 2004177
Oct 2004174
Sept 2004136
Aug 2004140
Jul 2004128
Jun 2004111
May 2004113
Apr 2004113
Mar 2004113
Feb 2004115
Jan 2004118
Dec 2003114
Nov 2003114
Oct 2003120
Sept 2003137
Aug 2003156
Jul 2003147
Jun 2003162
May 2003203
Apr 2003178
Mar 2003173
Feb 2003150
Jan 2003168

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-133-67-retail-kg.