Staple Signals Français

Home › Burkina Faso

Food basket in Dori

SAHEL, Burkina Faso · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe).

Not included: cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

3,982–5,977

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

3,569–6,308

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 4,976 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 3,982 and 5,977 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 3,569 and 6,308 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Dori: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 4,976 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 3,982 and 5,977 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 3,569 and 6,308 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,0008,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 8,976); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 4,601–5,464 4,944 4,202–5,989
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 4,238–5,738 4,928 3,728–6,480
Nov 2026
Next month		 3,982–5,977 4,838 3,128–7,756
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 3,779–6,149 4,830 2,889–8,061
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 3,569–6,308 4,890 2,311–8,976
Cost history (136 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20264,944
Aug 20264,976
Jul 20264,942
Jun 20264,875
May 20265,008
Apr 20264,920
Mar 20264,824
Feb 20265,186
Jan 20264,752
Dec 20254,552
Nov 20254,608
Oct 20255,309
Sept 20255,303
Aug 20255,831
Jul 20256,070
Jun 20256,223
May 20256,396
Apr 20256,217
Mar 20256,505
Feb 20256,221
Jan 20256,176
Dec 20246,308
Nov 20246,736
Oct 20246,922
Sept 20247,575
Aug 20247,625
Jul 20247,289
Jun 20246,028
May 20245,787
Apr 20245,684
Mar 20245,703
Feb 20245,499
Jan 20245,312
Dec 20235,077
Nov 20235,005
Oct 20235,429
Sept 20235,578
Aug 20235,906
Jul 20235,530
Jun 20235,530
May 20235,530
Apr 20235,629
Mar 20235,837
Feb 20235,935
Jan 20236,109
Dec 20225,897
Nov 20225,932
Oct 20225,650
Sept 20226,480
Aug 20226,571
Jul 20226,541
Jun 20226,128
May 20226,193
Apr 20226,521
Mar 20225,965
Feb 20225,275
Jan 20225,146
Dec 20214,955
Nov 20215,308
Oct 20214,319
Sept 20214,148
Aug 20214,094
Jul 20214,038
Jun 20213,993
May 20214,040
Apr 20213,863
Mar 20213,869
Feb 20213,720
Jan 20213,576
Dec 20203,596
Nov 20203,538
Oct 20203,614
Sept 20203,835
Aug 20204,208
Jul 20204,018
Jun 20203,808
May 20203,643
Apr 20203,643
Mar 20203,341
Feb 20203,507
Jan 20203,476
Dec 20193,324
Nov 20193,265
Oct 20193,323
Sept 20193,227
Aug 20193,316
Jul 20193,605
Jun 20193,650
May 20193,693
Apr 20193,657
Mar 20193,680
Feb 20193,634
Jan 20193,708
Dec 20183,708
Nov 20183,785
Oct 20183,856
Sept 20183,913
Aug 20184,397
Jul 20184,501
Jun 20184,656
May 20184,456
Apr 20184,268
Mar 20184,371
Feb 20184,120
Jan 20183,859
Dec 20173,977
Nov 20173,930
Oct 20174,026
Sept 20174,253
Aug 20174,243
Jul 20173,907
Jun 20173,834
May 20173,823
Apr 20173,815
Mar 20173,545
Feb 20173,438
Jan 20173,395
Dec 20163,159
Nov 20163,299
Oct 20163,112
Sept 20163,677
Aug 20163,803
Jun 20163,700
May 20163,666
Apr 20163,575
Mar 20163,693
Feb 20163,477
Jan 20163,521
Dec 20153,368
Nov 20153,421
Oct 20153,455
Sept 20154,060
Aug 20154,112
Jul 20153,595
Jun 20153,667
May 20153,487

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burkina Faso

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 83% 96% 4% 2,526
Estimate (this month) 81% 96% 7% 2,519
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,515
In 2 months 79% 94% 13% 2,512
In 3 months 78% 94% 17% 2,508