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Beans (niebe) in Fada N'Gourma

EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 10% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

382–592

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

381–651

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

7%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 10% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 8% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 382 and 592 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 381 and 651 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 7%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Fada N'Gourma: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 10% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 8% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 382 and 592 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 381 and 651 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 7%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 833); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 450–548 508 429–602 612 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 408–561 495 342–667 547 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 382–592 471 276–740 518 7%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 367–614 475 248–780 532 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 381–651 497 294–833 573 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026472
Aug 2026514
Jul 2026479
Jun 2026475
May 2026476
Apr 2026475
Mar 2026479
Feb 2026479
Jan 2026478
Dec 2025470
Nov 2025478
Oct 2025502
Sept 2025589
Aug 2025645
Jul 2025639
Jun 2025631
May 2025641
Apr 2025632
Mar 2025631
Feb 2025617
Jan 2025641
Dec 2024474
Nov 2024550
Oct 2024520
Sept 2024671
Aug 2024629
Jul 2024567
Jun 2024561
May 2024541
Apr 2024453
Mar 2024419
Feb 2024407
Jan 2024390
Dec 2023373
Nov 2023355
Oct 2023312
Sept 2023319
Aug 2023328
Jul 2023328
Jun 2023327
May 2023330
Apr 2023326
Mar 2023356
Feb 2023390
Jan 2023357
Dec 2022379
Nov 2022388
Oct 2022472
Sept 2022577
Aug 2022579
Jul 2022585
Jun 2022587
May 2022580
Apr 2022576
Mar 2022578
Feb 2022575
Jan 2022566
Dec 2021486
Nov 2021479
Oct 2021474
Sept 2021566
Aug 2021491
Jul 2021487
Jun 2021467
May 2021426
Apr 2021410
Mar 2021380
Feb 2021376
Jan 2021368
Dec 2020326
Nov 2020316
Oct 2020334
Sept 2020323
Aug 2020321
Jul 2020321
Jun 2020323
May 2020340
Apr 2020340
Mar 2020323
Feb 2020326
Jan 2020325
Dec 2019314
Nov 2019261
Oct 2019337
Sept 2019296
Aug 2019301
Jul 2019281
Jun 2019320
May 2019328
Apr 2019362
Mar 2019362
Feb 2019363
Jan 2019349
Dec 2018349
Nov 2018329
Oct 2018334
Sept 2018395
Aug 2018353
Jul 2018351
Jun 2018351
May 2018351
Apr 2018336
Mar 2018333
Feb 2018318
Jan 2018306
Dec 2017278
Nov 2017264
Oct 2017283
Sept 2017319
Aug 2017242
Jul 2017306
Jun 2017306
May 2017306
Apr 2017306
Mar 2017299
Feb 2017299
Jan 2017260
Dec 2016249
Nov 2016232
Oct 2016258
Sept 2016309
Aug 2016309
Jul 2016309
Jun 2016239
May 2016309
Apr 2016309
Mar 2016309
Feb 2016309
Jan 2016275
Dec 2015253
Nov 2015233
Oct 2015284
Sept 2015281
Aug 2015281
Jul 2015281
Jun 2015281
May 2015258
Apr 2015253
Mar 2015253
Feb 2015253
Jan 2015245

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-134-120-retail-kg.