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Beans (niebe) in Gorom Gorom

SAHEL, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 27% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

521–880

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

511–1,010

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 18% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 521 and 880 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 511 and 1,010 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Gorom Gorom: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 18% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 521 and 880 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 511 and 1,010 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).05001,0001,500202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 605–783 678 559–856 933 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 537–843 689 458–895 868 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 521–880 692 413–955 883 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 544–939 687 464–1,261 992 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 511–1,010 708 370–1,101 981 –
Price history (77 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026614
Aug 2026657
Jul 2026619
Jun 2026621
May 2026800
Apr 2026764
Mar 2026684
Feb 2026738
Jan 2026780
Dec 2025833
Nov 2025787
Oct 2025744
Sept 2025882
Aug 2025804
Jul 2025872
Jun 2025831
May 2025879
Apr 2025897
Mar 2025868
Jan 2025717
Dec 2024743
Nov 2024669
Oct 2024726
Sept 2024833
Aug 2024907
Jul 2024925
Jun 2024950
May 2024848
Apr 2024877
Mar 2024814
Feb 2024759
Jan 2024803
Dec 2023770
Nov 2023651
Oct 2023661
Sept 2023659
Aug 2023625
Jul 2023840
Jun 2023817
May 2023839
Apr 2023825
Mar 2023775
Feb 2023736
Jan 2023738
Dec 2022849
Nov 2022635
Oct 2022828
Sept 2022929
Aug 20221,000
Jul 2022850
Jun 2022828
May 2022815
Apr 2022799
Mar 2022793
Feb 2022727
Jan 2022698
Dec 2021701
Nov 2021628
Oct 2021416
Sept 2021374
Aug 2021413
Jul 2021422
Jun 2021471
May 2021457
Apr 2021407
Mar 2021417
Feb 2021433
Jan 2021459
Dec 2020400
Nov 2020414
Oct 2020413
Sept 2020468
Aug 2020464
Jul 2020450
Jun 2020414
May 2020427
Apr 2020427

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-135-120-retail-kg.