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Food basket in Gorom Gorom

SAHEL, Burkina Faso · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe).

Not included: cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

4,344–6,613

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

4,109–7,332

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 5,335 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 4,344 and 6,613 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 4,109 and 7,332 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Gorom Gorom: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 5,335 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 4,344 and 6,613 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 4,109 and 7,332 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,0008,00010,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 11,579); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 4,942–5,988 5,386 4,336–6,616
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 4,650–6,355 5,419 3,956–7,583
Nov 2026
Next month		 4,344–6,613 5,378 3,148–8,569
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 4,130–7,123 5,349 2,722–10,209
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 4,109–7,332 5,429 3,124–11,579
Cost history (77 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20265,401
Aug 20265,335
Jul 20265,206
Jun 20265,138
May 20265,808
Apr 20265,359
Mar 20265,275
Feb 20265,744
Jan 20265,940
Dec 20256,011
Nov 20256,085
Oct 20255,935
Sept 20256,448
Aug 20256,991
Jul 20256,862
Jun 20257,604
May 20257,582
Apr 20257,639
Mar 20257,790
Jan 20256,847
Dec 20246,605
Nov 20245,908
Oct 20246,707
Sept 20247,007
Aug 20247,621
Jul 20247,137
Jun 20246,486
May 20246,206
Apr 20246,223
Mar 20246,217
Feb 20246,226
Jan 20246,149
Dec 20235,850
Nov 20235,792
Oct 20235,930
Sept 20236,058
Aug 20235,865
Jul 20236,312
Jun 20237,135
May 20236,094
Apr 20235,877
Mar 20235,715
Feb 20235,801
Jan 20235,660
Dec 20225,812
Nov 20224,899
Oct 20225,870
Sept 20226,628
Aug 20226,588
Jul 20226,726
Jun 20226,662
May 20226,639
Apr 20226,586
Mar 20225,783
Feb 20224,849
Jan 20224,928
Dec 20215,006
Nov 20214,334
Oct 20214,121
Sept 20213,901
Aug 20213,863
Jul 20214,120
Jun 20214,088
May 20214,063
Apr 20213,973
Mar 20213,715
Feb 20213,695
Jan 20213,742
Dec 20203,900
Nov 20203,985
Oct 20203,983
Sept 20204,250
Aug 20204,243
Jul 20204,374
Jun 20203,793
May 20203,637
Apr 20203,637

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burkina Faso

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 83% 96% 4% 2,526
Estimate (this month) 81% 96% 7% 2,519
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,515
In 2 months 79% 94% 13% 2,512
In 3 months 78% 94% 17% 2,508