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Beans (niebe) in Gourcy

NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 25% below the usual level for that time of year.

Irregular reports. This market published a price in 8 of the last 12 months. Prices here can change more, for example through insecurity or road closures; the forecast range is wider accordingly. In past tests, the 80 % range for next month held in 81% of cases in markets that report irregularly, against 77% in markets that report regularly.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

252–427

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

256–475

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 25% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 252 and 427 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 256 and 475 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Gourcy: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 25% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 252 and 427 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 256 and 475 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 299–383 332 279–420 458 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 270–420 330 258–486 428 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 252–427 323 218–466 416 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 240–439 323 186–509 423 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 256–475 328 235–519 445 –
Price history (132 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026344
Aug 2026332
Jul 2026362
Feb 2026389
Jan 2026383
Dec 2025387
Nov 2025399
Oct 2025407
Sept 2025408
Aug 2025422
Jul 2025509
Jun 2025521
May 2025531
Apr 2025548
Mar 2025554
Feb 2025595
Jan 2025565
Dec 2024485
Nov 2024449
Oct 2024513
Sept 2024694
Aug 2024676
Jul 2024534
Jun 2024512
May 2024495
Apr 2024447
Mar 2024432
Feb 2024410
Jan 2024352
Dec 2023316
Nov 2023333
Oct 2023295
Sept 2023271
Aug 2023269
Jul 2023272
Jun 2023274
May 2023272
Apr 2023271
Mar 2023292
Feb 2023301
Jan 2023303
Dec 2022314
Nov 2022306
Oct 2022354
Sept 2022421
Aug 2022457
Jul 2022515
Jun 2022456
May 2022480
Apr 2022524
Mar 2022515
Feb 2022511
Jan 2022468
Dec 2021471
Nov 2021475
Oct 2021415
Sept 2021512
Aug 2021487
Jul 2021435
Jun 2021406
May 2021412
Apr 2021384
Mar 2021371
Feb 2021346
Jan 2021302
Dec 2020281
Nov 2020267
Oct 2020259
Sept 2020236
Aug 2020238
Jul 2020254
Jun 2020253
May 2020258
Apr 2020258
Mar 2020233
Feb 2020230
Jan 2020253
Dec 2019218
Nov 2019211
Oct 2019292
Sept 2019205
Aug 2019209
Jul 2019229
Jun 2019379
May 2019258
Apr 2019284
Mar 2019290
Feb 2019288
Jan 2019300
Dec 2018300
Nov 2018297
Oct 2018285
Sept 2018369
Aug 2018398
Jul 2018410
Jun 2018399
May 2018406
Apr 2018346
Mar 2018357
Feb 2018360
Jan 2018350
Dec 2017330
Nov 2017313
Oct 2017294
Sept 2017343
Aug 2017351
Jul 2017347
Jun 2017351
May 2017315
Apr 2017351
Mar 2017351
Feb 2017351
Jan 2017323
Dec 2016315
Nov 2016316
Oct 2016335
Sept 2016373
Aug 2016403
Jun 2016322
May 2016349
Apr 2016321
Mar 2016318
Feb 2016297
Jan 2016283
Dec 2015283
Nov 2015273
Oct 2015300
Sept 2015300
Aug 2015300
Jul 2015264
Jun 2015264
May 2015264

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-136-120-retail-kg.