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Beans (niebe) in Kongoussi

CENTRE-NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 20% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

292–468

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

291–539

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 20% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 11% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 292 and 468 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 291 and 539 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Kongoussi: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 20% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 11% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 292 and 468 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 291 and 539 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 351–436 393 328–473 517 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 310–455 384 272–504 466 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 292–468 372 227–562 464 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 282–485 375 195–610 473 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 291–539 387 216–724 496 –
Price history (136 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026416
Aug 2026400
Jul 2026400
Jun 2026425
May 2026447
Apr 2026447
Mar 2026450
Feb 2026440
Jan 2026474
Dec 2025399
Nov 2025450
Oct 2025461
Sept 2025583
Aug 2025608
Jul 2025654
Jun 2025685
May 2025704
Apr 2025722
Mar 2025722
Feb 2025713
Jan 2025649
Dec 2024574
Nov 2024538
Oct 2024561
Sept 2024638
Aug 2024576
Jul 2024493
Jun 2024453
May 2024455
Apr 2024400
Mar 2024399
Feb 2024363
Jan 2024329
Dec 2023316
Nov 2023316
Oct 2023281
Sept 2023263
Aug 2023297
Jul 2023300
Jun 2023300
May 2023321
Apr 2023325
Mar 2023337
Feb 2023378
Jan 2023368
Dec 2022370
Nov 2022355
Oct 2022278
Sept 2022390
Aug 2022443
Jul 2022463
Jun 2022454
May 2022477
Apr 2022450
Mar 2022450
Feb 2022425
Jan 2022447
Dec 2021447
Nov 2021425
Oct 2021405
Sept 2021420
Aug 2021395
Jul 2021375
Jun 2021375
May 2021344
Apr 2021325
Mar 2021319
Feb 2021298
Jan 2021250
Dec 2020239
Nov 2020250
Oct 2020249
Sept 2020253
Aug 2020250
Jul 2020400
Jun 2020244
May 2020226
Apr 2020226
Mar 2020251
Feb 2020250
Jan 2020213
Dec 2019201
Nov 2019190
Oct 2019251
Sept 2019225
Aug 2019239
Jul 2019246
Jun 2019250
May 2019250
Apr 2019265
Mar 2019247
Feb 2019247
Jan 2019235
Dec 2018235
Nov 2018218
Oct 2018238
Sept 2018326
Aug 2018329
Jul 2018343
Jun 2018350
May 2018350
Apr 2018350
Mar 2018350
Feb 2018352
Jan 2018325
Dec 2017315
Nov 2017295
Oct 2017314
Sept 2017344
Aug 2017317
Jul 2017325
Jun 2017325
May 2017325
Apr 2017317
Mar 2017309
Feb 2017300
Jan 2017300
Dec 2016300
Nov 2016300
Oct 2016288
Sept 2016300
Aug 2016300
Jun 2016300
May 2016300
Apr 2016287
Mar 2016278
Feb 2016266
Jan 2016225
Dec 2015258
Nov 2015240
Oct 2015231
Sept 2015250
Aug 2015250
Jul 2015250
Jun 2015250
May 2015250

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-137-120-retail-kg.