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Maize (white) in Kongoussi

CENTRE-NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 26% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

183–245

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

165–256

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 26% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 5% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 183 and 245 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 165 and 256 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Kongoussi: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 26% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 5% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 183 and 245 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 165 and 256 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 204–242 221 190–243 314 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 195–246 220 176–256 310 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 183–245 221 145–252 299 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 168–252 218 111–301 289 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 165–256 215 115–302 289 –
Price history (282 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026233
Aug 2026222
Jul 2026219
Jun 2026222
May 2026211
Apr 2026211
Mar 2026211
Feb 2026211
Jan 2026211
Dec 2025211
Nov 2025253
Oct 2025232
Sept 2025241
Aug 2025250
Jul 2025295
Jun 2025306
May 2025306
Apr 2025306
Mar 2025306
Feb 2025306
Jan 2025278
Dec 2024278
Nov 2024281
Oct 2024335
Sept 2024341
Aug 2024339
Jul 2024306
Jun 2024286
May 2024300
Apr 2024263
Mar 2024263
Feb 2024263
Jan 2024267
Dec 2023278
Nov 2023278
Oct 2023278
Sept 2023263
Aug 2023263
Jul 2023263
Jun 2023263
May 2023263
Apr 2023262
Mar 2023263
Feb 2023273
Jan 2023273
Dec 2022274
Nov 2022275
Oct 2022281
Sept 2022317
Aug 2022321
Jul 2022321
Jun 2022333
May 2022333
Apr 2022313
Mar 2022265
Feb 2022263
Jan 2022264
Dec 2021260
Nov 2021250
Oct 2021257
Sept 2021234
Aug 2021224
Jul 2021223
Jun 2021213
May 2021202
Apr 2021188
Mar 2021184
Feb 2021181
Jan 2021171
Dec 2020175
Nov 2020184
Oct 2020184
Sept 2020184
Aug 2020184
Jul 2020166
Jun 2020158
May 2020158
Apr 2020158
Mar 2020158
Feb 2020158
Jan 2020149
Dec 2019141
Nov 2019149
Oct 2019157
Sept 2019157
Aug 2019156
Jul 2019156
Jun 2019158
May 2019158
Apr 2019157
Mar 2019159
Feb 2019161
Jan 2019160
Dec 2018160
Nov 2018168
Oct 2018185
Sept 2018193
Aug 2018199
Jul 2018209
Jun 2018198
May 2018196
Apr 2018197
Mar 2018194
Feb 2018198
Jan 2018177
Dec 2017182
Nov 2017182
Oct 2017194
Sept 2017192
Aug 2017190
Jul 2017178
Jun 2017169
May 2017169
Apr 2017165
Mar 2017154
Feb 2017154
Jan 2017166
Dec 2016167
Nov 2016171
Oct 2016170
Sept 2016182
Aug 2016182
Jul 2016180
Jun 2016184
May 2016181
Apr 2016156
Mar 2016155
Feb 2016154
Jan 2016154
Dec 2015154
Nov 2015157
Oct 2015154
Sept 2015154
Aug 2015167
Jul 2015171
Jun 2015171
May 2015158
Apr 2015159
Mar 2015158
Feb 2015145
Jan 2015163
Dec 2014136
Nov 2014145
Oct 2014153
Sept 2014181
Jul 2014184
Jun 2014181
May 2014184
Apr 2014179
Mar 2014168
Feb 2014169
Dec 2013150
Nov 2013153
Oct 2013164
Sept 2013178
Aug 2013181
Jul 2013178
Jun 2013182
May 2013179
Apr 2013179
Mar 2013179
Feb 2013179
Jan 2013174
Dec 2012159
Nov 2012183
Oct 2012208
Sept 2012215
Aug 2012220
Jul 2012213
Jun 2012204
May 2012213
Apr 2012208
Mar 2012196
Feb 2012183
Jan 2012183
Dec 2011189
Nov 2011182
Oct 2011206
Sept 2011174
Aug 2011162
Jul 2011144
Jun 2011140
May 2011139
Apr 2011140
Mar 2011138
Feb 2011126
Jan 2011138
Dec 2010127
Nov 2010143
Oct 2010143
Sept 2010149
Aug 2010150
Jul 2010152
Jun 2010151
May 2010143
Apr 2010146
Mar 2010153
Feb 2010158
Jan 2010149
Dec 2009145
Nov 2009133
Oct 2009152
Sept 2009176
Aug 2009176
Jul 2009172
Jun 2009163
May 2009163
Apr 2009163
Mar 2009153
Feb 2009148
Jan 2009143
Dec 2008125
Nov 2008129
Oct 2008146
Sept 2008184
Aug 2008175
Jul 2008172
Jun 2008171
May 2008152
Apr 2008135
Mar 2008122
Feb 2008116
Jan 2008106
Dec 2007112
Nov 2007122
Oct 2007111
Sept 200795.5
Aug 200795.1
Jul 200795.7
Jun 200798.5
May 2007101
Apr 200795.9
Mar 200796.4
Feb 200797.4
Jan 200798.5
Dec 200693
Nov 200699.3
Oct 2006108
Sept 2006114
Aug 2006124
Jul 2006129
Jun 2006109
May 2006122
Apr 2006109
Mar 2006107
Feb 2006101
Jan 2006108
Dec 200588.1
Nov 200587.2
Oct 2005125
Sept 2005179
Aug 2005215
Jul 2005229
Jun 2005219
May 2005165
Apr 2005165
Mar 2005138
Feb 2005112
Jan 2005116
Dec 2004128
Nov 2004124
Oct 2004118
Sept 2004113
Aug 2004103
Jul 200483.5
Jun 200477.1
May 200477.1
Apr 200477.1
Feb 200490
Jan 200477.5
Dec 200371.1
Nov 200377.9
Oct 200399.9
Sept 200391
Aug 2003105
Jul 2003127
Jun 2003126
May 2003127
Apr 2003127
Mar 2003125
Feb 2003129
Jan 2003128

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-137-67-retail-kg.