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Beans (niebe) in Koudougou

CENTRE-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 19% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

317–492

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

318–529

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 19% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 3% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 317 and 492 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 318 and 529 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Koudougou: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 19% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 3% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 317 and 492 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 318 and 529 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 376–450 414 363–478 546 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 353–480 413 319–533 538 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 317–492 403 254–577 493 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 309–511 402 259–620 498 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 318–529 413 237–564 521 –
Price history (136 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026400
Aug 2026420
Jul 2026429
Jun 2026429
May 2026433
Apr 2026429
Mar 2026424
Feb 2026424
Jan 2026424
Dec 2025437
Nov 2025433
Oct 2025461
Sept 2025506
Aug 2025538
Jul 2025511
Jun 2025577
May 2025707
Apr 2025693
Mar 2025696
Feb 2025656
Jan 2025680
Dec 2024536
Nov 2024510
Oct 2024602
Sept 2024712
Aug 2024656
Jul 2024542
Jun 2024528
May 2024530
Apr 2024500
Mar 2024446
Feb 2024429
Jan 2024411
Dec 2023348
Nov 2023357
Oct 2023321
Sept 2023317
Aug 2023300
Jul 2023314
Jun 2023339
May 2023336
Apr 2023338
Mar 2023341
Feb 2023368
Jan 2023357
Dec 2022375
Nov 2022379
Oct 2022457
Sept 2022496
Aug 2022538
Jul 2022565
Jun 2022557
May 2022571
Apr 2022571
Mar 2022542
Feb 2022531
Jan 2022509
Dec 2021483
Nov 2021467
Oct 2021496
Sept 2021552
Aug 2021469
Jul 2021446
Jun 2021446
May 2021406
Apr 2021393
Mar 2021372
Feb 2021348
Jan 2021357
Dec 2020343
Nov 2020321
Oct 2020321
Sept 2020321
Aug 2020313
Jul 2020281
Jun 2020304
May 2020296
Apr 2020296
Mar 2020299
Feb 2020277
Jan 2020250
Dec 2019250
Nov 2019249
Oct 2019369
Sept 2019214
Aug 2019232
Jul 2019232
Jun 2019250
May 2019304
Apr 2019304
Mar 2019304
Feb 2019304
Jan 2019321
Dec 2018321
Nov 2018321
Oct 2018350
Sept 2018393
Aug 2018393
Jul 2018393
Jun 2018393
May 2018386
Apr 2018375
Mar 2018378
Feb 2018357
Jan 2018348
Dec 2017339
Nov 2017339
Oct 2017348
Sept 2017357
Aug 2017335
Jul 2017321
Jun 2017321
May 2017317
Apr 2017353
Mar 2017330
Feb 2017321
Jan 2017313
Dec 2016310
Nov 2016321
Oct 2016321
Sept 2016357
Aug 2016357
Jun 2016314
May 2016286
Apr 2016286
Mar 2016286
Feb 2016286
Jan 2016286
Dec 2015286
Nov 2015268
Oct 2015274
Sept 2015286
Aug 2015286
Jul 2015274
Jun 2015274
May 2015268

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-138-120-retail-kg.