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Beans (niebe) in Tenkodogo

CENTRE-EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 22% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

274–456

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

260–535

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 22% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 274 and 456 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 260 and 535 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Tenkodogo: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 22% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 274 and 456 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 260 and 535 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 351–437 393 342–483 550 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 311–457 389 264–517 479 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 274–456 344 217–529 426 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 259–479 345 173–582 424 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 260–535 370 151–560 452 –
Price history (136 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026403
Aug 2026399
Jul 2026419
Jun 2026400
May 2026403
Apr 2026403
Mar 2026404
Feb 2026395
Jan 2026374
Dec 2025330
Nov 2025413
Oct 2025439
Sept 2025475
Aug 2025569
Jul 2025547
Jun 2025572
May 2025570
Apr 2025587
Mar 2025676
Feb 2025495
Jan 2025487
Dec 2024422
Nov 2024442
Oct 2024538
Sept 2024751
Aug 2024596
Jul 2024597
Jun 2024577
May 2024570
Apr 2024434
Mar 2024421
Feb 2024399
Jan 2024331
Dec 2023310
Nov 2023308
Oct 2023313
Sept 2023308
Aug 2023299
Jul 2023329
Jun 2023313
May 2023338
Apr 2023343
Mar 2023341
Feb 2023347
Jan 2023323
Dec 2022348
Nov 2022345
Oct 2022458
Sept 2022571
Aug 2022591
Jul 2022601
Jun 2022578
May 2022585
Apr 2022582
Mar 2022570
Feb 2022553
Jan 2022530
Dec 2021473
Nov 2021488
Oct 2021463
Sept 2021594
Aug 2021495
Jul 2021470
Jun 2021439
May 2021414
Apr 2021418
Mar 2021367
Feb 2021350
Jan 2021331
Dec 2020317
Nov 2020266
Oct 2020320
Sept 2020351
Aug 2020314
Jul 2020314
Jun 2020312
May 2020318
Apr 2020318
Mar 2020340
Feb 2020294
Jan 2020264
Dec 2019230
Nov 2019213
Oct 2019293
Sept 2019225
Aug 2019236
Jul 2019231
Jun 2019243
May 2019295
Apr 2019265
Mar 2019274
Feb 2019268
Jan 2019265
Dec 2018265
Nov 2018265
Oct 2018268
Sept 2018361
Aug 2018399
Jul 2018408
Jun 2018390
May 2018391
Apr 2018378
Mar 2018372
Feb 2018393
Jan 2018329
Dec 2017303
Nov 2017312
Oct 2017314
Sept 2017367
Aug 2017347
Jul 2017335
Jun 2017346
May 2017332
Apr 2017324
Mar 2017317
Feb 2017304
Jan 2017253
Dec 2016252
Nov 2016247
Oct 2016284
Sept 2016363
Aug 2016350
Jun 2016337
May 2016355
Apr 2016336
Mar 2016333
Feb 2016305
Jan 2016292
Dec 2015287
Nov 2015270
Oct 2015308
Sept 2015305
Aug 2015315
Jul 2015298
Jun 2015298
May 2015294

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-140-120-retail-kg.