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Beans (niebe) in Tougan

BOUCLE DU MOUHOUN, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 25% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

285–462

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

278–529

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 25% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 2% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 285 and 462 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 278 and 529 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Tougan: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 25% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 2% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 285 and 462 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 278 and 529 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 353–431 395 340–472 558 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 315–459 396 253–496 507 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 285–462 362 234–462 459 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 270–480 356 209–543 445 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 278–529 366 224–551 460 –
Price history (136 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026434
Aug 2026398
Jul 2026410
Jun 2026381
May 2026407
Apr 2026395
Mar 2026393
Feb 2026426
Jan 2026403
Dec 2025418
Nov 2025486
Oct 2025525
Sept 2025647
Aug 2025711
Jul 2025763
Jun 2025763
May 2025763
Apr 2025732
Mar 2025705
Feb 2025529
Jan 2025476
Dec 2024482
Nov 2024479
Oct 2024523
Sept 2024647
Aug 2024553
Jul 2024493
Jun 2024474
May 2024415
Apr 2024355
Mar 2024355
Feb 2024355
Jan 2024355
Dec 2023355
Nov 2023326
Oct 2023316
Sept 2023316
Aug 2023316
Jul 2023316
Jun 2023316
May 2023316
Apr 2023316
Mar 2023393
Feb 2023316
Jan 2023316
Dec 2022316
Nov 2022414
Oct 2022634
Sept 2022632
Aug 2022633
Jul 2022632
Jun 2022632
May 2022632
Apr 2022579
Mar 2022553
Feb 2022474
Jan 2022474
Dec 2021474
Nov 2021474
Oct 2021475
Sept 2021474
Aug 2021454
Jul 2021395
Jun 2021391
May 2021367
Apr 2021342
Mar 2021293
Feb 2021258
Jan 2021250
Dec 2020255
Nov 2020273
Oct 2020283
Sept 2020313
Aug 2020313
Jul 2020313
Jun 2020301
May 2020250
Apr 2020250
Mar 2020250
Feb 2020230
Jan 2020211
Dec 2019211
Nov 2019211
Oct 2019286
Sept 2019228
Aug 2019240
Jul 2019258
Jun 2019258
May 2019291
Apr 2019289
Mar 2019281
Feb 2019277
Jan 2019273
Dec 2018273
Nov 2018273
Oct 2018283
Sept 2018391
Aug 2018391
Jul 2018389
Jun 2018389
May 2018387
Apr 2018389
Mar 2018391
Feb 2018379
Jan 2018405
Dec 2017305
Nov 2017293
Oct 2017294
Sept 2017332
Aug 2017360
Jul 2017357
Jun 2017357
May 2017352
Apr 2017370
Mar 2017385
Feb 2017364
Jan 2017343
Dec 2016301
Nov 2016288
Oct 2016308
Sept 2016383
Aug 2016352
Jun 2016352
May 2016356
Apr 2016307
Mar 2016303
Feb 2016239
Jan 2016269
Dec 2015234
Nov 2015245
Oct 2015245
Sept 2015325
Aug 2015289
Jul 2015291
Jun 2015291
May 2015286

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-141-120-retail-kg.