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Beans (niebe) in Pouytenga

CENTRE-EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 12% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

257–453

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

253–483

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

4%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 12% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 8% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 257 and 453 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 253 and 483 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Pouytenga: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 12% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 8% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 257 and 453 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 253 and 483 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 332–424 390 329–469 478 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 292–448 371 230–491 428 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 257–453 336 169–502 391 4%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 244–465 338 149–540 394 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 253–483 358 163–504 417 –
Price history (135 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026383
Aug 2026398
Jul 2026350
Jun 2026354
May 2026367
Apr 2026385
Mar 2026388
Feb 2026369
Jan 2026376
Dec 2025372
Nov 2025387
Oct 2025362
Sept 2025402
Aug 2025493
Jul 2025493
Jun 2025486
May 2025551
Apr 2025533
Mar 2025552
Feb 2025507
Jan 2025482
Dec 2024400
Nov 2024378
Oct 2024508
Sept 2024615
Aug 2024553
Jul 2024512
Jun 2024496
May 2024476
Apr 2024420
Mar 2024393
Feb 2024359
Jan 2024348
Dec 2023322
Nov 2023299
Oct 2023291
Sept 2023286
Aug 2023286
Jul 2023290
Jun 2023291
May 2023292
Apr 2023289
Mar 2023291
Feb 2023290
Jan 2023291
Dec 2022289
Nov 2022295
Oct 2022368
Sept 2022432
Aug 2022471
Jul 2022485
Jun 2022500
May 2022506
Apr 2022494
Mar 2022492
Feb 2022466
Jan 2022444
Dec 2021440
Nov 2021391
Oct 2021387
Sept 2021499
Aug 2021427
Jul 2021414
Jun 2021396
May 2021357
Mar 2021348
Feb 2021308
Jan 2021282
Dec 2020256
Nov 2020261
Oct 2020281
Sept 2020297
Aug 2020271
Jul 2020265
Jun 2020261
May 2020268
Apr 2020268
Mar 2020257
Feb 2020259
Jan 2020221
Dec 2019209
Nov 2019201
Oct 2019284
Sept 2019216
Aug 2019202
Jul 2019203
Jun 2019223
May 2019251
Apr 2019266
Mar 2019280
Feb 2019263
Jan 2019247
Dec 2018247
Nov 2018248
Oct 2018267
Sept 2018355
Aug 2018366
Jul 2018346
Jun 2018346
May 2018349
Apr 2018335
Mar 2018327
Feb 2018328
Jan 2018306
Dec 2017285
Nov 2017298
Oct 2017311
Sept 2017340
Aug 2017321
Jul 2017312
Jun 2017313
May 2017308
Apr 2017300
Mar 2017298
Feb 2017294
Jan 2017272
Dec 2016256
Nov 2016275
Oct 2016269
Sept 2016344
Aug 2016350
Jun 2016347
May 2016345
Apr 2016325
Mar 2016324
Feb 2016324
Jan 2016302
Dec 2015292
Nov 2015270
Oct 2015281
Sept 2015304
Aug 2015300
Jul 2015310
Jun 2015310
May 2015302

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-1802-120-retail-kg.