Staple Signals Français

Home › Burkina Faso

Maize (white) in Pouytenga

CENTRE-EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 33% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

133–189

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

118–198

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 33% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 9% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 133 and 189 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 118 and 198 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Pouytenga: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 33% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 9% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 133 and 189 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 118 and 198 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 156–184 168 141–190 266 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 149–189 169 129–192 257 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 133–189 166 96–215 240 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 123–194 163 84.5–228 234 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 118–198 161 72–249 229 –
Price history (137 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026174
Aug 2026168
Jul 2026162
Jun 2026158
May 2026185
Apr 2026183
Mar 2026180
Feb 2026174
Jan 2026175
Dec 2025193
Nov 2025207
Oct 2025179
Sept 2025204
Aug 2025248
Jul 2025261
Jun 2025266
May 2025260
Apr 2025256
Mar 2025259
Feb 2025236
Jan 2025215
Dec 2024212
Nov 2024214
Oct 2024268
Sept 2024273
Aug 2024270
Jul 2024260
Jun 2024240
May 2024238
Apr 2024230
Mar 2024224
Feb 2024221
Jan 2024220
Dec 2023223
Nov 2023225
Oct 2023236
Sept 2023233
Aug 2023235
Jul 2023238
Jun 2023239
May 2023241
Apr 2023246
Mar 2023245
Feb 2023244
Jan 2023232
Dec 2022226
Nov 2022211
Oct 2022243
Sept 2022263
Aug 2022261
Jul 2022256
Jun 2022254
May 2022257
Apr 2022257
Mar 2022230
Feb 2022209
Jan 2022197
Dec 2021197
Nov 2021198
Oct 2021210
Sept 2021211
Aug 2021206
Jul 2021200
Jun 2021197
May 2021170
Apr 2021157
Mar 2021162
Feb 2021147
Jan 2021137
Dec 2020136
Nov 2020150
Oct 2020164
Sept 2020159
Aug 2020143
Jul 2020134
Jun 2020128
May 2020119
Apr 2020119
Mar 2020111
Feb 2020113
Jan 202094
Dec 2019112
Nov 2019111
Oct 2019119
Sept 2019119
Aug 2019121
Jul 2019126
Jun 2019135
May 2019138
Apr 2019133
Mar 2019142
Feb 2019134
Jan 2019133
Dec 2018133
Nov 2018137
Oct 2018148
Sept 2018152
Aug 2018159
Jul 2018162
Jun 2018161
May 2018154
Apr 2018148
Mar 2018152
Feb 2018149
Jan 2018143
Dec 2017137
Nov 2017144
Oct 2017156
Sept 2017159
Aug 2017149
Jul 2017146
Jun 2017159
May 2017145
Apr 2017142
Mar 2017139
Feb 2017142
Jan 2017138
Dec 2016141
Nov 2016151
Oct 2016157
Sept 2016176
Aug 2016179
Jul 2016177
Jun 2016181
May 2016179
Apr 2016178
Mar 2016171
Feb 2016162
Jan 2016157
Dec 2015155
Nov 2015150
Oct 2015176
Sept 2015169
Aug 2015159
Jul 2015151
Jun 2015158
May 2015145

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-1802-67-retail-kg.