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Millet in Pouytenga

CENTRE-EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 30% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

231–327

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

199–343

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 30% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 231 and 327 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 199 and 343 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Pouytenga: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 30% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 231 and 327 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 199 and 343 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 250–295 267 238–325 404 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 243–306 269 231–356 403 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 231–327 265 221–392 389 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 203–330 259 160–466 355 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 199–343 261 147–515 356 –
Price history (136 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026259
Aug 2026267
Jul 2026250
Jun 2026255
May 2026264
Apr 2026277
Mar 2026270
Feb 2026301
Jan 2026291
Dec 2025309
Nov 2025301
Oct 2025305
Sept 2025357
Aug 2025418
Jul 2025344
Jun 2025421
May 2025416
Apr 2025424
Mar 2025414
Feb 2025386
Jan 2025388
Dec 2024375
Nov 2024429
Oct 2024449
Sept 2024448
Aug 2024434
Jul 2024385
May 2024322
Apr 2024319
Mar 2024305
Feb 2024301
Jan 2024293
Dec 2023303
Nov 2023306
Oct 2023309
Sept 2023304
Aug 2023301
Jul 2023301
Jun 2023309
May 2023302
Apr 2023303
Mar 2023297
Feb 2023291
Jan 2023292
Dec 2022296
Nov 2022406
Oct 2022428
Sept 2022443
Aug 2022416
Jul 2022382
Jun 2022379
May 2022379
Apr 2022378
Mar 2022325
Feb 2022280
Jan 2022251
Dec 2021251
Nov 2021240
Oct 2021244
Sept 2021237
Aug 2021237
Jul 2021230
Jun 2021231
May 2021221
Apr 2021221
Mar 2021215
Feb 2021219
Jan 2021218
Dec 2020218
Nov 2020239
Oct 2020245
Sept 2020238
Aug 2020233
Jul 2020204
Jun 2020194
May 2020183
Apr 2020183
Mar 2020184
Feb 2020180
Jan 2020180
Dec 2019169
Nov 2019168
Oct 2019181
Sept 2019177
Aug 2019169
Jul 2019173
Jun 2019178
May 2019183
Apr 2019183
Mar 2019183
Feb 2019188
Jan 2019198
Dec 2018198
Nov 2018233
Oct 2018251
Sept 2018245
Aug 2018252
Jul 2018254
Jun 2018251
May 2018244
Apr 2018244
Mar 2018241
Feb 2018237
Jan 2018220
Dec 2017216
Nov 2017232
Oct 2017241
Sept 2017243
Aug 2017220
Jul 2017213
Jun 2017216
May 2017209
Apr 2017196
Mar 2017191
Feb 2017188
Jan 2017178
Dec 2016178
Nov 2016217
Oct 2016216
Sept 2016204
Aug 2016200
Jul 2016203
Jun 2016202
May 2016199
Apr 2016199
Mar 2016192
Feb 2016181
Jan 2016181
Dec 2015178
Nov 2015189
Oct 2015216
Sept 2015216
Aug 2015212
Jul 2015205
Jun 2015214
May 2015210

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-1802-73-retail-kg.