Staple Signals Français

Home › Burkina Faso

Beans (niebe) in Kaya

CENTRE-NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 21% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

258–432

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

271–492

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 21% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 6% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 258 and 432 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 271 and 492 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Kaya: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 21% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 6% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 258 and 432 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 271 and 492 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 294–406 352 256–467 431 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 273–415 344 244–503 421 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 258–432 340 169–508 432 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 244–454 339 150–575 431 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 271–492 350 222–634 460 –
Price history (133 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026373
Aug 2026359
Jul 2026389
Jun 2026390
May 2026381
Apr 2026382
Mar 2026368
Feb 2026375
Nov 2025399
Sept 2025375
Aug 2025470
Jul 2025413
Jun 2025450
May 2025509
Apr 2025560
Mar 2025575
Feb 2025595
Jan 2025585
Dec 2024525
Nov 2024438
Oct 2024598
Sept 2024714
Aug 2024616
Jul 2024520
Jun 2024488
May 2024474
Apr 2024426
Mar 2024420
Feb 2024400
Jan 2024356
Dec 2023329
Nov 2023345
Oct 2023275
Sept 2023197
Aug 2023249
Jul 2023254
Jun 2023217
May 2023250
Apr 2023205
Mar 2023288
Feb 2023308
Jan 2023311
Dec 2022300
Nov 2022360
Oct 2022340
Sept 2022358
Aug 2022478
Jul 2022455
Jun 2022485
May 2022514
Apr 2022490
Mar 2022423
Feb 2022500
Jan 2022451
Dec 2021439
Nov 2021484
Oct 2021419
Sept 2021402
Aug 2021407
Jul 2021430
Jun 2021414
May 2021384
Apr 2021300
Mar 2021363
Feb 2021343
Jan 2021331
Dec 2020292
Nov 2020283
Oct 2020290
Sept 2020227
Aug 2020268
Jul 2020269
Jun 2020255
May 2020271
Apr 2020271
Mar 2020266
Feb 2020274
Jan 2020272
Dec 2019256
Nov 2019235
Oct 2019280
Sept 2019244
Aug 2019254
Jul 2019254
Jun 2019256
May 2019268
Apr 2019233
Mar 2019288
Feb 2019209
Jan 2019264
Dec 2018264
Nov 2018262
Oct 2018272
Sept 2018346
Aug 2018357
Jul 2018351
Jun 2018361
May 2018357
Apr 2018350
Mar 2018345
Feb 2018347
Jan 2018325
Dec 2017303
Nov 2017298
Oct 2017280
Sept 2017341
Aug 2017335
Jul 2017324
Jun 2017306
May 2017315
Apr 2017314
Mar 2017300
Feb 2017381
Jan 2017294
Dec 2016275
Nov 2016288
Oct 2016207
Sept 2016305
Aug 2016307
Jun 2016292
May 2016289
Apr 2016321
Mar 2016278
Feb 2016271
Jan 2016241
Dec 2015240
Nov 2015255
Oct 2015233
Sept 2015237
Aug 2015235
Jul 2015316
Jun 2015316
May 2015236

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-1803-120-retail-kg.