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Maize (white) in Kaya

CENTRE-NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 23% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

170–266

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

149–282

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 2% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 170 and 266 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 149 and 282 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Kaya: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 2% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 170 and 266 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 149 and 282 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 212–259 235 177–274 303 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 192–265 235 134–308 296 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 170–266 223 103–290 275 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 156–274 216 88.4–341 266 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 149–282 218 68.1–365 270 –
Price history (136 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026247
Aug 2026238
Jul 2026240
Jun 2026225
May 2026234
Apr 2026224
Mar 2026198
Feb 2026185
Jan 2026192
Dec 2025210
Nov 2025204
Oct 2025226
Sept 2025247
Aug 2025270
Jul 2025297
Jun 2025292
May 2025301
Apr 2025315
Mar 2025313
Feb 2025272
Jan 2025257
Dec 2024250
Nov 2024271
Oct 2024325
Sept 2024334
Aug 2024330
Jul 2024315
Jun 2024244
May 2024259
Apr 2024250
Mar 2024247
Feb 2024248
Jan 2024248
Dec 2023245
Nov 2023262
Oct 2023271
Sept 2023286
Aug 2023286
Jul 2023282
Jun 2023290
May 2023310
Apr 2023305
Mar 2023296
Feb 2023282
Jan 2023274
Dec 2022245
Nov 2022278
Oct 2022283
Sept 2022312
Aug 2022330
Jul 2022362
Jun 2022325
May 2022335
Apr 2022317
Mar 2022286
Feb 2022272
Jan 2022261
Dec 2021247
Nov 2021245
Oct 2021248
Sept 2021248
Jul 2021209
Jun 2021241
May 2021236
Apr 2021221
Mar 2021214
Feb 2021198
Jan 2021186
Dec 2020182
Nov 2020187
Oct 2020201
Sept 2020190
Aug 2020207
Jul 2020188
Jun 2020164
May 2020158
Apr 2020158
Mar 2020158
Feb 2020158
Jan 2020157
Dec 2019155
Nov 2019156
Oct 2019156
Sept 2019156
Aug 2019225
Jul 2019155
Jun 2019157
May 2019159
Apr 2019158
Mar 2019156
Feb 2019154
Jan 2019158
Dec 2018158
Nov 2018181
Oct 2018201
Sept 2018205
Aug 2018208
Jul 2018218
Jun 2018213
May 2018208
Apr 2018193
Mar 2018191
Feb 2018191
Jan 2018192
Dec 2017191
Nov 2017179
Oct 2017220
Sept 2017216
Aug 2017201
Jul 2017191
Jun 2017191
May 2017196
Apr 2017202
Mar 2017195
Feb 2017174
Jan 2017194
Dec 2016194
Nov 2016195
Oct 2016195
Sept 2016199
Aug 2016200
Jul 2016193
Jun 2016195
May 2016180
Apr 2016174
Mar 2016174
Feb 2016181
Jan 2016188
Dec 2015198
Nov 2015191
Oct 2015199
Sept 2015178
Aug 2015183
Jul 2015198
Jun 2015197
May 2015167

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-1803-67-retail-kg.