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Beans (niebe) in Leo

CENTRE-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 36% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

207–371

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

186–423

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 36% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 8% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 207 and 371 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 186 and 423 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Leo: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 36% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 8% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 207 and 371 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 186 and 423 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 282–349 310 235–381 520 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 245–377 310 173–449 482 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 207–371 274 144–485 392 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 193–386 274 121–517 388 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 186–423 280 100–498 388 –
Price history (134 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026304
Aug 2026310
Jul 2026332
Jun 2026343
May 2026338
Apr 2026357
Mar 2026340
Feb 2026340
Jan 2026315
Dec 2025338
Nov 2025430
Oct 2025439
Sept 2025494
Aug 2025536
Jul 2025536
Jun 2025582
May 2025625
Apr 2025670
Mar 2025610
Feb 2025582
Jan 2025469
Dec 2024345
Nov 2024345
Oct 2024431
Sept 2024759
Aug 2024664
Jul 2024524
Jun 2024524
Apr 2024418
Mar 2024414
Feb 2024367
Jan 2024241
Dec 2023241
Nov 2023244
Oct 2023260
Sept 2023260
Aug 2023253
Jul 2023250
Jun 2023251
May 2023270
Apr 2023293
Mar 2023309
Feb 2023348
Jan 2023348
Dec 2022355
Nov 2022345
Oct 2022488
Sept 2022490
Aug 2022517
Jul 2022519
Jun 2022523
May 2022517
Apr 2022517
Mar 2022522
Feb 2022531
Jan 2022474
Dec 2021431
Nov 2021407
Oct 2021444
Sept 2021610
Aug 2021563
Jul 2021415
Jun 2021423
May 2021412
Mar 2021276
Feb 2021266
Jan 2021266
Dec 2020281
Nov 2020219
Oct 2020342
Sept 2020338
Aug 2020297
Jul 2020240
Jun 2020230
May 2020218
Apr 2020218
Mar 2020218
Feb 2020218
Jan 2020219
Dec 2019221
Nov 2019247
Oct 2019383
Sept 2019252
Aug 2019252
Jul 2019251
Jun 2019277
May 2019317
Apr 2019309
Mar 2019307
Feb 2019278
Jan 2019263
Dec 2018263
Nov 2018263
Oct 2018383
Sept 2018399
Aug 2018421
Jul 2018393
Jun 2018353
May 2018336
Apr 2018336
Mar 2018342
Feb 2018312
Jan 2018276
Dec 2017348
Nov 2017348
Oct 2017307
Sept 2017313
Aug 2017323
Jul 2017319
Jun 2017316
May 2017280
Apr 2017280
Mar 2017225
Feb 2017224
Jan 2017233
Dec 2016233
Nov 2016251
Oct 2016306
Sept 2016343
Aug 2016365
Jun 2016363
May 2016321
Apr 2016318
Mar 2016296
Feb 2016298
Jan 2016295
Dec 2015295
Nov 2015295
Oct 2015313
Sept 2015313
Aug 2015278
Jul 2015278
Jun 2015278
May 2015278

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-1804-120-retail-kg.