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Maize (white) in Leo

CENTRE-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 42% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

99.7–148

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

94.3–156

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 42% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 99.7 and 148 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 94.3 and 156 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Leo: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 42% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 99.7 and 148 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 94.3 and 156 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 124–147 134 109–149 243 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 112–151 133 87.9–159 228 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 99.7–148 129 69.3–161 211 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 93.9–150 128 58.4–175 205 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 94.3–156 129 60.1–187 210 –
Price history (137 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026138
Aug 2026133
Jul 2026127
Jun 2026126
May 2026129
Apr 2026128
Mar 2026129
Feb 2026134
Jan 2026129
Dec 2025139
Nov 2025171
Oct 2025191
Sept 2025205
Aug 2025219
Jul 2025237
Jun 2025232
May 2025237
Apr 2025246
Mar 2025250
Feb 2025250
Jan 2025207
Dec 2024204
Nov 2024218
Oct 2024232
Sept 2024292
Aug 2024272
Jul 2024254
Jun 2024222
May 2024218
Apr 2024218
Mar 2024214
Feb 2024224
Jan 2024214
Dec 2023207
Nov 2023200
Oct 2023217
Sept 2023219
Aug 2023217
Jul 2023214
Jun 2023215
May 2023230
Apr 2023232
Mar 2023245
Feb 2023255
Jan 2023214
Dec 2022188
Nov 2022188
Oct 2022221
Sept 2022250
Aug 2022250
Jul 2022255
Jun 2022250
May 2022250
Apr 2022268
Mar 2022232
Feb 2022215
Jan 2022217
Dec 2021215
Nov 2021192
Oct 2021188
Sept 2021236
Aug 2021231
Jul 2021198
Jun 2021199
May 2021194
Apr 2021173
Mar 2021157
Feb 2021145
Jan 2021157
Dec 2020139
Nov 2020121
Oct 2020153
Sept 2020143
Aug 2020141
Jul 2020132
Jun 2020124
May 2020136
Apr 2020136
Mar 2020117
Feb 2020117
Jan 2020116
Dec 2019115
Nov 2019132
Oct 2019113
Sept 2019113
Aug 2019113
Jul 2019115
Jun 2019123
May 2019126
Apr 2019123
Mar 2019123
Feb 2019123
Jan 2019131
Dec 2018131
Nov 2018158
Oct 2018176
Sept 2018175
Aug 2018177
Jul 2018177
Jun 2018163
May 2018159
Apr 2018159
Mar 2018141
Feb 2018141
Jan 2018141
Dec 2017141
Nov 2017141
Oct 2017168
Sept 2017168
Aug 2017168
Jul 2017141
Jun 2017141
May 2017142
Apr 2017141
Mar 2017120
Feb 2017115
Jan 2017139
Dec 2016136
Nov 2016136
Oct 2016136
Sept 2016141
Aug 2016150
Jul 2016152
Jun 2016158
May 2016151
Apr 2016137
Mar 2016137
Feb 2016141
Jan 2016157
Dec 2015157
Nov 2015157
Oct 2015161
Sept 2015157
Aug 2015157
Jul 2015160
Jun 2015143
May 2015139

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-1804-67-retail-kg.