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Millet in Leo

CENTRE-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 36% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

150–255

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

122–262

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 36% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 6% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 150 and 255 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 122 and 262 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Leo: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 36% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 6% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 150 and 255 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 122 and 262 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 178–227 199 174–251 326 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 170–247 200 168–292 328 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 150–255 196 104–307 312 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 139–255 192 99.4–349 294 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 122–262 187 61.1–371 283 –
Price history (136 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026227
Aug 2026200
Jul 2026182
Jun 2026190
May 2026188
Apr 2026182
Mar 2026192
Feb 2026184
Jan 2026175
Dec 2025194
Nov 2025255
Oct 2025278
Sept 2025290
Aug 2025296
Jul 2025333
Jun 2025361
May 2025370
Apr 2025370
Mar 2025370
Feb 2025370
Jan 2025274
Dec 2024250
Nov 2024312
Oct 2024315
Sept 2024315
Aug 2024314
Jul 2024311
May 2024293
Apr 2024293
Mar 2024294
Feb 2024284
Jan 2024278
Dec 2023278
Nov 2023249
Oct 2023254
Sept 2023256
Aug 2023257
Jul 2023259
Jun 2023259
May 2023313
Apr 2023329
Mar 2023330
Feb 2023331
Jan 2023369
Dec 2022366
Nov 2022430
Oct 2022463
Sept 2022450
Aug 2022399
Jul 2022378
Jun 2022365
May 2022362
Apr 2022362
Mar 2022291
Feb 2022293
Jan 2022279
Dec 2021269
Nov 2021256
Oct 2021255
Sept 2021255
Aug 2021257
Jul 2021255
Jun 2021257
May 2021255
Apr 2021240
Mar 2021176
Feb 2021165
Jan 2021174
Dec 2020202
Nov 2020208
Oct 2020262
Sept 2020256
Aug 2020230
Jul 2020150
Jun 2020139
May 2020133
Apr 2020133
Mar 2020123
Feb 2020125
Jan 2020152
Dec 2019157
Nov 2019164
Oct 2019172
Sept 2019173
Aug 2019179
Jul 2019167
Jun 2019165
May 2019175
Apr 2019195
Mar 2019195
Feb 2019194
Jan 2019200
Dec 2018200
Nov 2018207
Oct 2018236
Sept 2018238
Aug 2018241
Jul 2018236
Jun 2018236
May 2018236
Apr 2018236
Mar 2018285
Feb 2018248
Jan 2018240
Dec 2017301
Nov 2017289
Oct 2017243
Sept 2017243
Aug 2017243
Jul 2017234
Jun 2017234
May 2017234
Apr 2017159
Mar 2017152
Feb 2017151
Jan 2017162
Dec 2016163
Nov 2016168
Oct 2016181
Sept 2016171
Aug 2016205
Jul 2016205
Jun 2016208
May 2016218
Apr 2016218
Mar 2016210
Feb 2016211
Jan 2016216
Dec 2015216
Nov 2015216
Oct 2015216
Sept 2015216
Aug 2015188
Jul 2015190
Jun 2015190
May 2015190

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-1804-73-retail-kg.