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Food basket in Leo

CENTRE-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe).

Not included: cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,198–3,778

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,858–3,808

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 2,958 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,198 and 3,778 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,858 and 3,808 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Leo: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 2,958 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,198 and 3,778 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,858 and 3,808 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,714–3,311 2,957 2,529–3,623
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,567–3,575 2,981 2,329–4,412
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,198–3,778 2,871 1,706–5,214
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,007–3,583 2,680 1,492–4,784
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,858–3,808 2,780 1,088–5,101
Cost history (128 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20263,271
Aug 20262,958
Jul 20262,782
Jun 20262,897
May 20262,864
Apr 20262,827
Mar 20262,916
Feb 20262,820
Jan 20262,667
Nov 20253,834
Oct 20254,126
Sept 20254,369
Aug 20254,517
Jul 20254,961
Jun 20255,380
May 20255,565
Apr 20255,646
Mar 20255,538
Feb 20255,488
Jan 20254,132
Dec 20243,621
Nov 20244,365
Oct 20244,556
Sept 20245,146
Aug 20244,963
Jul 20244,675
Apr 20244,268
Mar 20244,273
Feb 20244,069
Jan 20243,770
Dec 20233,770
Nov 20233,427
Oct 20233,516
Sept 20233,540
Aug 20233,539
Jul 20233,558
Jun 20233,560
May 20234,242
Apr 20234,475
Mar 20234,516
Feb 20234,598
Jan 20235,054
Nov 20225,781
Oct 20226,434
Sept 20226,282
Aug 20225,719
Jul 20225,470
Jun 20225,321
May 20225,275
Apr 20225,275
Mar 20224,432
Feb 20224,472
Jan 20224,201
Nov 20213,805
Oct 20213,859
Sept 20214,158
Aug 20214,097
Jul 20213,807
Jun 20213,845
May 20213,802
Mar 20212,609
Feb 20212,459
Jan 20212,567
Dec 20202,930
Nov 20202,890
Oct 20203,760
Sept 20203,680
Aug 20203,295
Jul 20202,232
Jun 20202,082
May 20201,988
Apr 20201,988
Mar 20201,868
Feb 20201,892
Jan 20202,218
Dec 20192,282
Nov 20192,413
Oct 20192,753
Sept 20192,530
Aug 20192,602
Jul 20192,456
Jun 20192,479
May 20192,671
Apr 20192,896
Mar 20192,893
Feb 20192,828
Jan 20192,873
Dec 20182,873
Nov 20182,957
Oct 20183,521
Sept 20183,574
Aug 20183,650
Jul 20183,539
Jun 20183,467
May 20183,437
Apr 20183,437
Mar 20184,036
Feb 20183,538
Jan 20183,377
Nov 20174,094
Oct 20173,469
Sept 20173,479
Aug 20173,497
Jul 20173,382
Jun 20173,377
May 20173,312
Apr 20172,412
Mar 20172,229
Feb 20172,215
Jan 20172,363
Dec 20162,375
Nov 20162,468
Oct 20162,723
Sept 20162,669
Aug 20163,117
Jun 20163,149
May 20163,194
Apr 20163,188
Mar 20163,053
Feb 20163,068
Jan 20163,123
Nov 20153,123
Oct 20153,155
Sept 20153,155
Aug 20152,756
Jul 20152,780
Jun 20152,780
May 20152,780

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burkina Faso

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 83% 96% 4% 2,526
Estimate (this month) 81% 96% 7% 2,519
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,515
In 2 months 79% 94% 13% 2,512
In 3 months 78% 94% 17% 2,508