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Beans (niebe) in Nieneta

HAUTS-BASSINS, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 19% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

373–553

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

367–601

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 19% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 2% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 373 and 553 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 367 and 601 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Nieneta: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 19% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 2% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 373 and 553 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 367 and 601 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 455–522 481 434–545 620 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 408–540 477 362–598 563 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 373–553 459 257–601 532 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 367–582 457 258–707 536 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 367–601 474 263–629 553 –
Price history (136 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026441
Aug 2026485
Jul 2026465
Jun 2026469
May 2026474
Apr 2026486
Mar 2026474
Feb 2026479
Jan 2026500
Dec 2025486
Nov 2025482
Oct 2025496
Sept 2025551
Aug 2025615
Jul 2025671
Jun 2025683
May 2025679
Apr 2025692
Mar 2025681
Feb 2025680
Jan 2025619
Dec 2024576
Nov 2024545
Oct 2024629
Sept 2024833
Aug 2024660
Jul 2024611
Jun 2024601
May 2024572
Apr 2024541
Mar 2024520
Feb 2024473
Jan 2024425
Dec 2023399
Nov 2023388
Oct 2023388
Sept 2023412
Aug 2023415
Jul 2023414
Jun 2023446
May 2023425
Apr 2023448
Mar 2023442
Feb 2023444
Jan 2023442
Dec 2022418
Nov 2022414
Oct 2022517
Sept 2022552
Aug 2022605
Jul 2022597
Jun 2022612
May 2022622
Apr 2022629
Mar 2022575
Feb 2022570
Jan 2022504
Dec 2021552
Nov 2021522
Oct 2021476
Sept 2021615
Aug 2021514
Jul 2021472
Jun 2021464
May 2021431
Apr 2021410
Mar 2021405
Feb 2021407
Jan 2021386
Dec 2020341
Nov 2020333
Oct 2020333
Sept 2020346
Aug 2020373
Jul 2020361
Jun 2020389
May 2020361
Apr 2020361
Mar 2020361
Feb 2020357
Jan 2020303
Dec 2019303
Nov 2019305
Oct 2019403
Sept 2019322
Aug 2019342
Jul 2019359
Jun 2019366
May 2019361
Apr 2019361
Mar 2019361
Feb 2019361
Jan 2019392
Dec 2018392
Nov 2018425
Oct 2018408
Sept 2018512
Aug 2018488
Jul 2018417
Jun 2018411
May 2018417
Apr 2018417
Mar 2018417
Feb 2018417
Jan 2018368
Dec 2017361
Nov 2017333
Oct 2017338
Sept 2017367
Aug 2017389
Jul 2017389
Jun 2017389
May 2017389
Apr 2017389
Mar 2017389
Feb 2017389
Jan 2017313
Dec 2016306
Nov 2016332
Oct 2016338
Sept 2016362
Aug 2016378
Jun 2016378
May 2016378
Apr 2016358
Mar 2016349
Feb 2016342
Jan 2016316
Dec 2015316
Nov 2015296
Oct 2015324
Sept 2015357
Aug 2015361
Jul 2015343
Jun 2015343
May 2015333

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-1806-120-retail-kg.