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Millet in Nieneta

HAUTS-BASSINS, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 27% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

234–335

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

208–353

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 234 and 335 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 208 and 353 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Nieneta: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 234 and 335 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 208 and 353 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 259–307 278 244–321 389 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 249–320 280 228–348 387 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 234–335 278 207–386 378 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 215–344 276 166–466 357 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 208–353 276 145–476 356 –
Price history (137 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026299
Aug 2026275
Jul 2026276
Jun 2026278
May 2026273
Apr 2026276
Mar 2026273
Feb 2026273
Jan 2026278
Dec 2025278
Nov 2025281
Oct 2025333
Sept 2025333
Aug 2025331
Jul 2025346
Jun 2025357
May 2025376
Apr 2025384
Mar 2025381
Feb 2025362
Jan 2025375
Dec 2024378
Nov 2024414
Oct 2024416
Sept 2024417
Aug 2024434
Jul 2024414
Jun 2024338
May 2024331
Apr 2024333
Mar 2024333
Feb 2024323
Jan 2024320
Dec 2023323
Nov 2023330
Oct 2023331
Sept 2023332
Aug 2023333
Jul 2023331
Jun 2023330
May 2023335
Apr 2023352
Mar 2023361
Feb 2023360
Jan 2023357
Dec 2022370
Nov 2022421
Oct 2022441
Sept 2022444
Aug 2022429
Jul 2022402
Jun 2022388
May 2022387
Apr 2022395
Mar 2022354
Feb 2022327
Jan 2022291
Dec 2021282
Nov 2021280
Oct 2021249
Sept 2021249
Aug 2021250
Jul 2021250
Jun 2021250
May 2021252
Apr 2021254
Mar 2021244
Feb 2021225
Jan 2021225
Dec 2020233
Nov 2020251
Oct 2020254
Sept 2020250
Aug 2020245
Jul 2020224
Jun 2020224
May 2020196
Apr 2020196
Mar 2020196
Feb 2020196
Jan 2020194
Dec 2019190
Nov 2019194
Oct 2019194
Sept 2019194
Aug 2019194
Jul 2019196
Jun 2019200
May 2019222
Apr 2019222
Mar 2019222
Feb 2019222
Jan 2019211
Dec 2018211
Nov 2018218
Oct 2018237
Sept 2018264
Aug 2018267
Jul 2018282
Jun 2018278
May 2018271
Apr 2018250
Mar 2018250
Feb 2018250
Jan 2018250
Dec 2017250
Nov 2017271
Oct 2017278
Sept 2017278
Aug 2017278
Jul 2017250
Jun 2017246
May 2017232
Apr 2017222
Mar 2017212
Feb 2017198
Jan 2017194
Dec 2016194
Nov 2016222
Oct 2016219
Sept 2016208
Aug 2016194
Jul 2016197
Jun 2016194
May 2016199
Apr 2016194
Mar 2016194
Feb 2016194
Jan 2016194
Dec 2015194
Nov 2015194
Oct 2015203
Sept 2015206
Aug 2015202
Jul 2015202
Jun 2015202
May 2015194

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-1806-73-retail-kg.