Staple Signals Français

Home › Burkina Faso

Beans (niebe) in Dedougou

BOUCLE DU MOUHOUN, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 12% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

354–568

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

365–624

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 12% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 354 and 568 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 365 and 624 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Dedougou: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 12% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 354 and 568 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 365 and 624 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 463–538 507 417–586 612 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 412–554 505 283–621 555 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 354–568 473 186–597 507 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 348–595 485 202–692 534 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 365–624 497 239–754 552 –
Price history (168 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026497
Aug 2026510
Jul 2026484
Jun 2026473
May 2026509
Apr 2026519
Mar 2026524
Feb 2026532
Jan 2026536
Dec 2025522
Nov 2025538
Oct 2025552
Sept 2025609
Aug 2025579
Jul 2025693
Jun 2025707
May 2025721
Apr 2025734
Mar 2025723
Feb 2025703
Jan 2025647
Dec 2024583
Nov 2024528
Oct 2024608
Sept 2024743
Aug 2024646
Jul 2024586
Jun 2024543
May 2024522
Apr 2024511
Mar 2024464
Feb 2024405
Jan 2024376
Dec 2023368
Nov 2023357
Oct 2023333
Sept 2023339
Aug 2023343
Jul 2023354
Jun 2023361
May 2023376
Apr 2023367
Mar 2023381
Feb 2023390
Jan 2023394
Dec 2022387
Nov 2022388
Oct 2022457
Sept 2022517
Aug 2022598
Jul 2022629
Jun 2022601
May 2022607
Apr 2022580
Mar 2022549
Feb 2022538
Jan 2022516
Dec 2021500
Nov 2021472
Oct 2021470
Sept 2021535
Aug 2021453
Jul 2021432
Jun 2021407
May 2021392
Apr 2021372
Mar 2021362
Feb 2021347
Jan 2021319
Dec 2020316
Nov 2020292
Oct 2020303
Sept 2020343
Aug 2020337
Jul 2020332
Jun 2020328
May 2020317
Apr 2020317
Mar 2020320
Feb 2020300
Jan 2020274
Dec 2019263
Nov 2019250
Oct 2019346
Sept 2019300
Aug 2019278
Jul 2019314
Jun 2019338
May 2019342
Apr 2019355
Mar 2019343
Feb 2019330
Jan 2019329
Dec 2018329
Nov 2018253
Oct 2018342
Sept 2018404
Aug 2018415
Jul 2018401
Jun 2018411
May 2018402
Apr 2018382
Mar 2018373
Feb 2018370
Jan 2018326
Dec 2017304
Nov 2017316
Oct 2017330
Sept 2017356
Aug 2017372
Jul 2017369
Jun 2017367
May 2017377
Apr 2017374
Mar 2017378
Feb 2017372
Jan 2017326
Dec 2016326
Nov 2016320
Oct 2016305
Sept 2016363
Aug 2016370
Jun 2016342
May 2016342
Apr 2016342
Mar 2016332
Feb 2016320
Jan 2016309
Dec 2015283
Nov 2015255
Oct 2015315
Sept 2015353
Aug 2015310
Jul 2015313
Jun 2015312
May 2015310
Apr 2015311
Mar 2015299
Feb 2015288
Jan 2015270
Dec 2014245
Nov 2014261
Oct 2014287
Sept 2014269
Aug 2014259
Jul 2014252
Jun 2014250
May 2014261
Apr 2014260
Mar 2014253
Feb 2014278
Jan 2014285
Dec 2013252
Nov 2013240
Oct 2013253
Sept 2013290
Aug 2013304
Jul 2013304
Jun 2013304
May 2013329
Apr 2013329
Mar 2013323
Feb 2013310
Jan 2013304
Dec 2012310
Nov 2012295
Oct 2012303
Sept 2012434

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-1892-120-retail-kg.