Staple Signals Français

Home › Burkina Faso

Maize (white) in Dedougou

BOUCLE DU MOUHOUN, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 27% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

154–215

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

145–226

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 154 and 215 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 145 and 226 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Dedougou: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 154 and 215 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 145 and 226 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 186–213 199 170–221 279 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 175–217 199 144–224 265 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 154–215 190 100–232 239 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 149–220 192 94.6–259 244 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 145–226 193 93.3–276 249 –
Price history (169 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026198
Aug 2026198
Jul 2026190
Jun 2026188
May 2026193
Apr 2026194
Mar 2026198
Feb 2026202
Jan 2026197
Dec 2025203
Nov 2025201
Oct 2025226
Sept 2025230
Aug 2025272
Jul 2025271
Jun 2025270
May 2025270
Apr 2025273
Mar 2025271
Feb 2025275
Jan 2025263
Dec 2024241
Nov 2024255
Oct 2024283
Sept 2024296
Aug 2024296
Jul 2024283
Jun 2024231
May 2024225
Apr 2024215
Mar 2024216
Feb 2024211
Jan 2024213
Dec 2023206
Nov 2023205
Oct 2023217
Sept 2023219
Aug 2023220
Jul 2023221
Jun 2023221
May 2023225
Apr 2023222
Mar 2023228
Feb 2023225
Jan 2023219
Dec 2022212
Nov 2022202
Oct 2022232
Sept 2022274
Aug 2022291
Jul 2022297
Jun 2022301
May 2022298
Apr 2022281
Mar 2022242
Feb 2022219
Jan 2022218
Dec 2021212
Nov 2021187
Oct 2021199
Sept 2021204
Aug 2021194
Jul 2021197
Jun 2021192
May 2021189
Apr 2021178
Mar 2021161
Feb 2021161
Jan 2021151
Dec 2020147
Nov 2020147
Oct 2020162
Sept 2020162
Aug 2020160
Jul 2020141
Jun 2020134
May 2020127
Apr 2020127
Mar 2020128
Feb 2020122
Jan 2020123
Dec 2019121
Nov 2019116
Oct 2019121
Sept 2019122
Aug 2019123
Jul 2019130
Jun 2019136
May 2019139
Apr 2019133
Mar 2019135
Feb 2019137
Jan 2019130
Dec 2018130
Nov 2018133
Oct 2018155
Sept 2018175
Aug 2018185
Jul 2018177
Jun 2018176
May 2018175
Apr 2018163
Mar 2018159
Feb 2018160
Jan 2018155
Dec 2017145
Nov 2017143
Oct 2017155
Sept 2017168
Aug 2017161
Jul 2017160
Jun 2017162
May 2017162
Apr 2017150
Mar 2017149
Feb 2017136
Jan 2017136
Dec 2016140
Nov 2016137
Oct 2016162
Sept 2016169
Aug 2016165
Jul 2016158
Jun 2016162
May 2016157
Apr 2016135
Mar 2016135
Feb 2016136
Jan 2016127
Dec 2015130
Nov 2015142
Oct 2015151
Sept 2015161
Aug 2015167
Jul 2015167
Jun 2015167
May 2015139
Apr 2015125
Mar 2015121
Feb 2015121
Jan 2015138
Dec 2014120
Nov 2014125
Oct 2014130
Sept 2014139
Aug 2014132
Jul 2014125
Jun 2014125
May 2014124
Apr 2014124
Mar 2014118
Feb 2014119
Jan 2014125
Dec 2013127
Nov 2013120
Oct 2013131
Sept 2013131
Aug 2013131
Jul 2013131
Jun 2013131
May 2013143
Apr 2013143
Mar 2013143
Feb 2013143
Jan 2013143
Dec 2012134
Nov 2012131
Oct 2012148
Sept 2012209

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-1892-67-retail-kg.