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Millet in Dedougou

BOUCLE DU MOUHOUN, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 28% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

249–350

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

209–375

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 28% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 2% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 249 and 350 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 209 and 375 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Dedougou: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 28% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 2% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 249 and 350 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 209 and 375 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 557); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 267–313 283 254–331 409 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 259–330 285 245–355 404 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 249–350 285 232–378 405 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 227–355 285 172–390 382 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 209–375 285 133–557 376 –
Price history (169 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026272
Aug 2026280
Jul 2026284
Jun 2026280
May 2026287
Apr 2026307
Mar 2026318
Feb 2026323
Jan 2026324
Dec 2025337
Nov 2025327
Oct 2025316
Sept 2025328
Aug 2025346
Jul 2025348
Jun 2025350
May 2025345
Apr 2025355
Mar 2025366
Feb 2025342
Jan 2025349
Dec 2024348
Nov 2024420
Oct 2024419
Sept 2024421
Aug 2024425
Jul 2024371
Jun 2024327
May 2024321
Apr 2024310
Mar 2024318
Feb 2024310
Jan 2024319
Dec 2023313
Nov 2023331
Oct 2023325
Sept 2023331
Aug 2023340
Jul 2023334
Jun 2023318
May 2023344
Apr 2023360
Mar 2023350
Feb 2023376
Jan 2023382
Dec 2022385
Nov 2022395
Oct 2022400
Sept 2022403
Aug 2022391
Jul 2022360
Jun 2022351
May 2022343
Apr 2022343
Mar 2022295
Feb 2022248
Jan 2022246
Dec 2021259
Nov 2021231
Oct 2021227
Sept 2021225
Aug 2021220
Jul 2021213
Jun 2021218
May 2021210
Apr 2021211
Mar 2021217
Feb 2021213
Jan 2021199
Dec 2020215
Nov 2020238
Oct 2020223
Sept 2020240
Aug 2020222
Jul 2020186
Jun 2020179
May 2020169
Apr 2020169
Mar 2020162
Feb 2020157
Jan 2020159
Dec 2019159
Nov 2019161
Oct 2019161
Sept 2019159
Aug 2019160
Jul 2019151
Jun 2019160
May 2019172
Apr 2019178
Mar 2019178
Feb 2019166
Jan 2019198
Dec 2018198
Nov 2018207
Oct 2018235
Sept 2018243
Aug 2018240
Jul 2018247
Jun 2018243
May 2018233
Apr 2018213
Mar 2018211
Feb 2018206
Jan 2018199
Dec 2017199
Nov 2017249
Oct 2017259
Sept 2017251
Aug 2017241
Jul 2017217
Jun 2017212
May 2017204
Apr 2017196
Mar 2017186
Feb 2017178
Jan 2017176
Dec 2016181
Nov 2016191
Oct 2016182
Sept 2016183
Aug 2016181
Jul 2016174
Jun 2016174
May 2016172
Apr 2016162
Mar 2016162
Feb 2016163
Jan 2016164
Dec 2015168
Nov 2015168
Oct 2015181
Sept 2015189
Aug 2015184
Jul 2015184
Jun 2015184
May 2015176
Apr 2015168
Mar 2015173
Feb 2015164
Jan 2015153
Dec 2014170
Nov 2014181
Oct 2014184
Sept 2014175
Aug 2014173
Jul 2014180
Jun 2014171
May 2014169
Apr 2014158
Mar 2014157
Feb 2014160
Jan 2014163
Dec 2013143
Nov 2013163
Oct 2013169
Sept 2013184
Aug 2013179
Jul 2013173
Jun 2013169
May 2013181
Apr 2013177
Mar 2013181
Feb 2013182
Jan 2013177
Dec 2012178
Nov 2012243
Oct 2012262
Sept 2012258

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-1892-73-retail-kg.