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Food basket in Dedougou

BOUCLE DU MOUHOUN, Burkina Faso · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe).

Not included: cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

3,701–5,123

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

3,209–5,547

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 4,278 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 3,701 and 5,123 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 3,209 and 5,547 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Dedougou: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 4,278 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 3,701 and 5,123 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 3,209 and 5,547 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,0008,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 4,072–4,676 4,299 3,934–4,945
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 3,914–4,883 4,314 3,646–5,257
Nov 2026
Next month		 3,701–5,123 4,293 3,373–5,481
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 3,406–5,222 4,288 2,658–5,646
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 3,209–5,547 4,300 2,339–7,291
Cost history (168 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20264,159
Aug 20264,278
Jul 20264,279
Jun 20264,211
May 20264,360
Apr 20264,618
Mar 20264,759
Feb 20264,834
Jan 20264,853
Dec 20254,984
Nov 20254,892
Oct 20254,786
Sept 20255,032
Aug 20255,194
Jul 20255,423
Jun 20255,473
May 20255,438
Apr 20255,581
Mar 20255,693
Feb 20255,369
Jan 20255,353
Dec 20245,225
Nov 20245,990
Oct 20246,122
Sept 20246,389
Aug 20246,263
Jul 20245,507
Jun 20244,901
May 20244,792
Apr 20244,640
Mar 20244,651
Feb 20244,449
Jan 20244,505
Dec 20234,418
Nov 20234,615
Oct 20234,499
Sept 20234,582
Aug 20234,697
Jul 20234,645
Jun 20234,466
May 20234,805
Apr 20234,981
Mar 20234,886
Feb 20235,214
Jan 20235,293
Dec 20225,317
Nov 20225,438
Oct 20225,623
Sept 20225,767
Aug 20225,768
Jul 20225,452
Jun 20225,294
May 20225,209
Apr 20225,160
Mar 20224,528
Feb 20223,944
Jan 20223,881
Dec 20214,008
Nov 20213,622
Oct 20213,570
Sept 20213,663
Aug 20213,455
Jul 20213,334
Jun 20213,349
May 20213,226
Apr 20213,202
Mar 20213,256
Feb 20213,181
Jan 20212,962
Dec 20203,149
Nov 20203,382
Oct 20203,221
Sept 20203,497
Aug 20203,271
Jul 20202,830
Jun 20202,738
May 20202,599
Apr 20202,599
Mar 20202,520
Feb 20202,424
Jan 20202,401
Dec 20192,381
Nov 20192,382
Oct 20192,555
Sept 20192,448
Aug 20192,420
Jul 20192,377
Jun 20192,528
May 20192,680
Apr 20192,775
Mar 20192,753
Feb 20192,586
Jan 20192,968
Dec 20182,968
Nov 20182,939
Oct 20183,436
Sept 20183,643
Aug 20183,627
Jul 20183,686
Jun 20183,656
May 20183,520
Apr 20183,244
Mar 20183,203
Feb 20183,138
Jan 20182,975
Dec 20172,935
Nov 20173,557
Oct 20173,702
Sept 20173,653
Aug 20173,562
Jul 20173,268
Jun 20173,205
May 20173,127
Apr 20173,025
Mar 20172,912
Feb 20172,806
Jan 20172,699
Dec 20162,759
Nov 20162,868
Oct 20162,733
Sept 20162,849
Aug 20162,838
Jun 20162,704
May 20162,680
Apr 20162,560
Mar 20162,542
Feb 20162,532
Jan 20162,524
Dec 20152,525
Nov 20152,475
Oct 20152,739
Sept 20152,903
Aug 20152,766
Jul 20152,771
Jun 20152,773
May 20152,674
Apr 20152,571
Mar 20152,610
Feb 20152,485
Jan 20152,323
Dec 20142,480
Nov 20142,637
Oct 20142,725
Sept 20142,584
Aug 20142,538
Jul 20142,618
Jun 20142,503
May 20142,495
Apr 20142,364
Mar 20142,339
Feb 20142,425
Jan 20142,463
Dec 20132,172
Nov 20132,386
Oct 20132,487
Sept 20132,733
Aug 20132,689
Jul 20132,623
Jun 20132,569
May 20132,765
Apr 20132,714
Mar 20132,755
Feb 20132,743
Jan 20132,665
Dec 20122,692
Nov 20123,444
Oct 20123,694
Sept 20123,873

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burkina Faso

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 83% 96% 4% 2,526
Estimate (this month) 81% 96% 7% 2,519
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,515
In 2 months 79% 94% 13% 2,512
In 3 months 78% 94% 17% 2,508