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Beans (niebe) in Ouahigouya

NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 13% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

277–440

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

279–501

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 13% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 6% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 277 and 440 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 279 and 501 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Ouahigouya: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 13% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 6% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 277 and 440 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 279 and 501 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 342–414 382 328–444 463 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 305–434 374 217–480 426 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 277–440 358 182–495 401 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 261–454 359 159–526 408 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 279–501 377 200–686 438 –
Price history (168 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026412
Aug 2026389
Jul 2026407
Jun 2026398
May 2026412
Apr 2026412
Mar 2026406
Feb 2026400
Jan 2026407
Dec 2025398
Nov 2025412
Oct 2025407
Sept 2025441
Aug 2025501
Jul 2025499
Jun 2025551
May 2025537
Apr 2025521
Mar 2025555
Feb 2025559
Jan 2025509
Dec 2024393
Nov 2024403
Oct 2024532
Sept 2024556
Aug 2024466
Jul 2024468
Jun 2024430
May 2024468
Apr 2024388
Mar 2024370
Feb 2024338
Jan 2024303
Dec 2023290
Nov 2023274
Oct 2023260
Sept 2023263
Aug 2023252
Jul 2023249
Jun 2023262
May 2023261
Apr 2023287
Mar 2023321
Feb 2023320
Jan 2023322
Dec 2022315
Nov 2022323
Oct 2022358
Sept 2022451
Aug 2022511
Jul 2022535
Jun 2022622
May 2022605
Apr 2022508
Mar 2022519
Feb 2022482
Jan 2022456
Dec 2021455
Nov 2021449
Oct 2021456
Sept 2021455
Aug 2021439
Jul 2021388
Jun 2021363
May 2021346
Apr 2021330
Mar 2021307
Feb 2021270
Jan 2021264
Dec 2020268
Nov 2020254
Oct 2020255
Sept 2020256
Aug 2020256
Jul 2020251
Jun 2020255
May 2020245
Apr 2020245
Mar 2020240
Feb 2020252
Jan 2020239
Dec 2019227
Nov 2019217
Oct 2019272
Sept 2019227
Aug 2019222
Jul 2019240
Jun 2019237
May 2019243
Apr 2019254
Mar 2019249
Feb 2019281
Jan 2019268
Dec 2018268
Nov 2018261
Oct 2018275
Sept 2018350
Aug 2018361
Jul 2018359
Jun 2018362
May 2018364
Apr 2018339
Mar 2018333
Feb 2018331
Jan 2018324
Dec 2017260
Nov 2017279
Oct 2017287
Sept 2017326
Aug 2017326
Jul 2017324
Jun 2017315
May 2017324
Apr 2017327
Mar 2017322
Feb 2017324
Jan 2017326
Dec 2016295
Nov 2016255
Oct 2016248
Sept 2016325
Aug 2016327
Jun 2016328
May 2016313
Apr 2016299
Mar 2016253
Feb 2016272
Jan 2016256
Dec 2015250
Nov 2015249
Oct 2015232
Sept 2015266
Aug 2015259
Jul 2015261
Jun 2015261
May 2015251
Apr 2015245
Mar 2015233
Feb 2015233
Jan 2015220
Dec 2014210
Nov 2014223
Oct 2014234
Sept 2014369
Aug 2014237
Jul 2014222
Jun 2014217
May 2014237
Apr 2014221
Mar 2014239
Feb 2014252
Jan 2014249
Dec 2013241
Nov 2013245
Oct 2013196
Sept 2013199
Aug 2013244
Jul 2013267
Jun 2013302
May 2013291
Apr 2013289
Mar 2013318
Feb 2013321
Jan 2013288
Dec 2012285
Nov 2012284
Oct 2012277
Sept 2012423

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-1893-120-retail-kg.