Staple Signals Français

Home › Burkina Faso

Maize (white) in Ouahigouya

NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 31% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

189–260

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

177–264

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 31% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 189 and 260 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 177 and 264 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Ouahigouya: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 31% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 189 and 260 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 177 and 264 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 210–248 226 201–254 346 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 206–252 227 193–254 337 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 189–260 227 156–281 319 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 180–262 226 134–293 314 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 177–264 226 129–270 315 –
Price history (169 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026227
Aug 2026225
Jul 2026220
Jun 2026223
May 2026227
Apr 2026225
Mar 2026223
Feb 2026294
Jan 2026287
Dec 2025294
Nov 2025294
Oct 2025290
Sept 2025290
Aug 2025287
Jul 2025295
Jun 2025300
May 2025301
Apr 2025303
Mar 2025306
Feb 2025308
Jan 2025299
Dec 2024290
Nov 2024297
Oct 2024361
Sept 2024361
Aug 2024358
Jul 2024317
Jun 2024291
May 2024292
Apr 2024287
Mar 2024290
Feb 2024277
Jan 2024280
Dec 2023288
Nov 2023288
Oct 2023295
Sept 2023295
Aug 2023296
Jul 2023293
Jun 2023295
May 2023294
Apr 2023294
Mar 2023293
Feb 2023293
Jan 2023285
Dec 2022286
Nov 2022283
Oct 2022298
Sept 2022310
Aug 2022323
Jul 2022331
Jun 2022362
May 2022351
Apr 2022319
Mar 2022284
Feb 2022258
Jan 2022258
Dec 2021257
Nov 2021258
Oct 2021258
Sept 2021245
Aug 2021232
Jul 2021231
Jun 2021228
May 2021224
Apr 2021214
Mar 2021212
Feb 2021209
Jan 2021188
Dec 2020179
Nov 2020186
Oct 2020196
Sept 2020212
Aug 2020205
Jul 2020182
Jun 2020179
May 2020169
Apr 2020169
Mar 2020169
Feb 2020171
Jan 2020170
Dec 2019170
Nov 2019170
Oct 2019178
Sept 2019180
Aug 2019180
Jul 2019178
Jun 2019178
May 2019180
Apr 2019180
Mar 2019181
Feb 2019187
Jan 2019180
Dec 2018180
Nov 2018193
Oct 2018207
Sept 2018221
Aug 2018221
Jul 2018214
Jun 2018210
May 2018209
Apr 2018212
Mar 2018193
Feb 2018188
Jan 2018185
Dec 2017185
Nov 2017185
Oct 2017188
Sept 2017212
Aug 2017205
Jul 2017186
Jun 2017181
May 2017181
Apr 2017181
Mar 2017181
Feb 2017177
Jan 2017174
Dec 2016174
Nov 2016179
Oct 2016202
Sept 2016202
Aug 2016189
Jul 2016187
Jun 2016188
May 2016190
Apr 2016190
Mar 2016177
Feb 2016154
Jan 2016154
Dec 2015158
Nov 2015180
Oct 2015188
Sept 2015188
Aug 2015188
Jul 2015188
Jun 2015188
May 2015172
Apr 2015150
Mar 2015145
Feb 2015148
Jan 2015169
Dec 2014134
Nov 2014149
Oct 2014154
Sept 2014157
Aug 2014154
Jul 2014152
Jun 2014160
May 2014160
Apr 2014158
Mar 2014151
Feb 2014153
Jan 2014177
Dec 2013165
Nov 2013177
Oct 2013178
Sept 2013180
Aug 2013187
Jul 2013182
Jun 2013176
May 2013183
Apr 2013187
Mar 2013185
Feb 2013181
Jan 2013179
Dec 2012183
Nov 2012199
Oct 2012220
Sept 2012228

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-1893-67-retail-kg.