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Millet in Ouahigouya

NORD, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 33% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

227–344

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

199–363

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 33% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 22% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 227 and 344 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 199 and 363 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Ouahigouya: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 33% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 22% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 227 and 344 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 199 and 363 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 247–310 267 230–339 396 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 236–337 267 205–364 386 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 227–344 268 171–360 389 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 207–350 267 135–383 372 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 199–363 268 121–460 380 –
Price history (169 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026260
Aug 2026256
Jul 2026304
Jun 2026325
May 2026329
Apr 2026325
Mar 2026325
Feb 2026321
Jan 2026321
Dec 2025325
Nov 2025321
Oct 2025314
Sept 2025314
Aug 2025350
Jul 2025377
Jun 2025410
May 2025409
Apr 2025408
Mar 2025411
Feb 2025412
Jan 2025397
Dec 2024402
Nov 2024430
Oct 2024457
Sept 2024445
Aug 2024452
Jul 2024404
Jun 2024337
May 2024327
Apr 2024324
Mar 2024323
Feb 2024325
Jan 2024322
Dec 2023314
Nov 2023305
Oct 2023285
Sept 2023307
Aug 2023308
Jul 2023301
Jun 2023307
May 2023308
Apr 2023311
Mar 2023322
Feb 2023323
Jan 2023317
Dec 2022311
Nov 2022350
Oct 2022388
Sept 2022401
Aug 2022393
Jul 2022380
Jun 2022367
May 2022370
Apr 2022370
Mar 2022335
Feb 2022276
Jan 2022270
Dec 2021268
Nov 2021265
Oct 2021228
Sept 2021207
Aug 2021207
Jul 2021207
Jun 2021206
May 2021206
Apr 2021206
Mar 2021206
Feb 2021206
Jan 2021203
Dec 2020206
Nov 2020227
Oct 2020207
Sept 2020231
Aug 2020237
Jul 2020200
Jun 2020193
May 2020184
Apr 2020184
Mar 2020184
Feb 2020186
Jan 2020185
Dec 2019184
Nov 2019184
Oct 2019193
Sept 2019193
Aug 2019189
Jul 2019185
Jun 2019191
May 2019200
Apr 2019200
Mar 2019200
Feb 2019201
Jan 2019204
Dec 2018204
Nov 2018215
Oct 2018222
Sept 2018250
Aug 2018255
Jul 2018255
Jun 2018254
May 2018253
Apr 2018253
Mar 2018252
Feb 2018255
Jan 2018235
Dec 2017214
Nov 2017243
Oct 2017263
Sept 2017263
Aug 2017257
Jul 2017236
Jun 2017231
May 2017211
Apr 2017200
Mar 2017200
Feb 2017200
Jan 2017215
Dec 2016197
Nov 2016200
Oct 2016187
Sept 2016197
Aug 2016192
Jul 2016193
Jun 2016194
May 2016195
Apr 2016195
Mar 2016199
Feb 2016196
Jan 2016197
Dec 2015197
Nov 2015200
Oct 2015204
Sept 2015204
Aug 2015204
Jul 2015206
Jun 2015206
May 2015203
Apr 2015199
Mar 2015200
Feb 2015196
Jan 2015180
Dec 2014190
Nov 2014201
Oct 2014202
Sept 2014200
Aug 2014201
Jul 2014201
Jun 2014201
May 2014201
Apr 2014200
Mar 2014200
Feb 2014203
Jan 2014199
Dec 2013179
Nov 2013202
Oct 2013204
Sept 2013206
Aug 2013214
Jul 2013207
Jun 2013202
May 2013201
Apr 2013200
Mar 2013199
Feb 2013201
Jan 2013193
Dec 2012212
Nov 2012276
Oct 2012275
Sept 2012277

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-1893-73-retail-kg.