Staple Signals Français

Home › Burkina Faso

Beans (niebe) in Batié

SUD-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 20% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

367–621

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

329–675

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 20% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 5% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 367 and 621 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 329 and 675 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Batié: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 20% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 5% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 367 and 621 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 329 and 675 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02505007501,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 457–579 519 433–634 702 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 412–621 516 337–715 669 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 367–621 480 267–733 591 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 323–622 444 196–747 544 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 329–675 465 190–698 570 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026562
Aug 2026529
Jul 2026535
Jun 2026556
May 2026558
Apr 2026506
Mar 2026495
Feb 2026476
Jan 2026414
Dec 2025412
Nov 2025571
Oct 2025622
Sept 2025694
Aug 2025675
Jul 2025694
Jun 2025664
May 2025655
Apr 2025821
Mar 2025700
Feb 2025693
Jan 2025628
Dec 2024668
Nov 2024703
Oct 2024834
Sept 2024989
Aug 2024802
Jul 2024642
Jun 2024544
May 2024584
Apr 2024562
Mar 2024578
Feb 2024520
Jan 2024462
Dec 2023405
Nov 2023406
Oct 2023279
Sept 2023249
Aug 2023399
Jul 2023404
Jun 2023409
May 2023441
Apr 2023394
Mar 2023396
Feb 2023418
Jan 2023402
Dec 2022451
Nov 2022504
Oct 2022655
Sept 2022690
Aug 2022575
Jul 2022627
Jun 2022714
May 2022657
Apr 2022699
Mar 2022665
Feb 2022544
Jan 2022501
Dec 2021453
Nov 2021443
Oct 2021648
Sept 2021691
Aug 2021508
Jul 2021487
Jun 2021375
May 2021423
Apr 2021465
Mar 2021404
Feb 2021413
Jan 2021392
Dec 2020367
Nov 2020385
Oct 2020391
Sept 2020368
Aug 2020369
Jul 2020375
Jun 2020370
May 2020365
Apr 2020362
Mar 2020342
Feb 2020335
Jan 2020320
Dec 2019283
Nov 2019286
Oct 2019336
Sept 2019339
Aug 2019334
Jul 2019340
Jun 2019344
May 2019336
Apr 2019368
Mar 2019355
Feb 2019327
Jan 2019235
Dec 2018224
Nov 2018295
Oct 2018372
Sept 2018379
Aug 2018389
Jul 2018373
Jun 2018408
May 2018444
Apr 2018439
Mar 2018400
Feb 2018352
Jan 2018310
Dec 2017270
Nov 2017273
Oct 2017319
Sept 2017370
Aug 2017374
Jul 2017364
Jun 2017370
May 2017333
Apr 2017382
Mar 2017363
Feb 2017337
Jan 2017299
Dec 2016290
Nov 2016297
Oct 2016347
Sept 2016374
Aug 2016385
Jul 2016348
Jun 2016341
May 2016347
Apr 2016352
Mar 2016337
Feb 2016308
Jan 2016298
Dec 2015280
Nov 2015301
Oct 2015327
Sept 2015326
Aug 2015323
Jul 2015300
Jun 2015304
May 2015300
Apr 2015290
Mar 2015263
Feb 2015284
Jan 2015253

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3362-120-retail-kg.