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Maize (white) in Batié

SUD-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 35% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

142–212

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

120–219

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 35% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 142 and 212 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 120 and 219 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Batié: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 35% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 142 and 212 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 120 and 219 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 159–197 177 142–209 297 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 147–203 177 131–215 276 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 142–212 176 109–225 275 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 127–207 169 97.4–248 254 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 120–219 164 79.9–326 247 –
Price history (139 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026157
Aug 2026177
Jul 2026181
Jun 2026182
May 2026178
Apr 2026174
Mar 2026160
Feb 2026146
Jan 2026129
Dec 2025139
Nov 2025216
Oct 2025213
Sept 2025299
Aug 2025305
Jul 2025301
Jun 2025301
May 2025316
Apr 2025379
Mar 2025315
Feb 2025302
Jan 2025299
Dec 2024281
Nov 2024290
Oct 2024329
Sept 2024363
Aug 2024315
Jul 2024298
Jun 2024253
May 2024255
Apr 2024254
Mar 2024255
Feb 2024250
Jan 2024242
Dec 2023239
Nov 2023251
Oct 2023248
Sept 2023257
Aug 2023276
Jul 2023263
Jun 2023272
May 2023291
Apr 2023272
Mar 2023269
Feb 2023269
Jan 2023265
Dec 2022285
Nov 2022260
Oct 2022268
Sept 2022297
Aug 2022264
Jul 2022278
Jun 2022287
May 2022321
Apr 2022266
Mar 2022240
Feb 2022225
Jan 2022218
Dec 2021227
Nov 2021253
Oct 2021243
Sept 2021199
Aug 2021205
Jul 2021198
Jun 2021199
May 2021183
Apr 2021175
Mar 2021163
Feb 2021158
Jan 2021142
Dec 2020141
Nov 2020147
Oct 2020147
Sept 2020144
Aug 2020124
Jul 2020132
Jun 2020144
May 2020157
Apr 2020154
Mar 2020141
Feb 2020141
Jan 2020128
Dec 2019127
Nov 2019136
Oct 2019132
Sept 2019127
Aug 2019142
Jul 2019160
Jun 2019147
May 2019166
Apr 2019160
Mar 2019165
Feb 2019144
Jan 2019139
Dec 2018151
Nov 2018163
Oct 2018174
Sept 2018181
Aug 2018172
Jul 2018172
Jun 2018173
May 2018177
Apr 2018180
Mar 2018190
Feb 2018169
Jan 2018153
Dec 2017166
Nov 2017163
Oct 2017153
Sept 2017173
Aug 2017176
Jul 2017173
Jun 2017175
May 2017176
Apr 2017174
Mar 2017163
Feb 2017154
Jan 2017133
Dec 2016132
Nov 2016148
Oct 2016141
Sept 2016183
Aug 2016195
Jul 2016196
Jun 2016180
May 2016189
Apr 2016192
Mar 2016169
Feb 2016161
Jan 2016153
Dec 2015141
Nov 2015144
Oct 2015155
Sept 2015181
Aug 2015173
Jul 2015166
Apr 2015152
Mar 2015147
Feb 2015147
Jan 2015157

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3362-67-retail-kg.