Staple Signals Français

Home › Burkina Faso

Millet in Batié

SUD-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 26% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

306–463

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

266–472

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 26% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 2% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 306 and 463 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 266 and 472 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Batié: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 26% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 2% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 306 and 463 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 266 and 472 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 328–406 358 310–451 533 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 316–437 362 296–498 535 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 306–463 359 271–532 539 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 299–478 359 257–563 517 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 266–472 360 171–613 463 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026329
Aug 2026356
Jul 2026357
Jun 2026371
May 2026349
Apr 2026367
Mar 2026404
Feb 2026393
Jan 2026386
Dec 2025395
Nov 2025450
Oct 2025424
Sept 2025449
Aug 2025452
Jul 2025456
Jun 2025467
May 2025450
Apr 2025459
Mar 2025523
Feb 2025509
Jan 2025444
Dec 2024484
Nov 2024581
Oct 2024509
Sept 2024500
Aug 2024435
Jul 2024395
Jun 2024365
May 2024365
Apr 2024360
Mar 2024341
Feb 2024341
Jan 2024341
Dec 2023410
Nov 2023425
Oct 2023453
Sept 2023438
Aug 2023420
Jul 2023407
Jun 2023399
May 2023424
Apr 2023373
Mar 2023382
Feb 2023421
Jan 2023413
Dec 2022402
Nov 2022401
Oct 2022403
Sept 2022410
Aug 2022322
Jul 2022338
Jun 2022354
May 2022364
Apr 2022373
Mar 2022297
Feb 2022263
Jan 2022256
Dec 2021316
Nov 2021305
Oct 2021350
Sept 2021355
Aug 2021296
Jul 2021316
Jun 2021315
May 2021292
Apr 2021268
Mar 2021250
Feb 2021226
Jan 2021221
Dec 2020253
Nov 2020263
Oct 2020251
Sept 2020217
Aug 2020200
Jul 2020203
Jun 2020220
May 2020232
Apr 2020187
Mar 2020173
Feb 2020164
Jan 2020188
Dec 2019199
Nov 2019211
Oct 2019214
Sept 2019209
Aug 2019278
Jul 2019218
Jun 2019198
May 2019213
Apr 2019210
Mar 2019225
Feb 2019180
Jan 2019176
Dec 2018231
Nov 2018224
Oct 2018234
Sept 2018248
Aug 2018224
Jul 2018230
Jun 2018235
May 2018212
Apr 2018218
Mar 2018241
Feb 2018203
Jan 2018194
Dec 2017223
Nov 2017213
Oct 2017202
Sept 2017215
Aug 2017205
Jul 2017204
Jun 2017214
May 2017197
Apr 2017204
Mar 2017183
Feb 2017186
Jan 2017210
Dec 2016214
Nov 2016232
Oct 2016223
Sept 2016216
Aug 2016226
Jul 2016226
Jun 2016219
May 2016228
Apr 2016228
Mar 2016218
Feb 2016205
Jan 2016211
Dec 2015195
Nov 2015221
Oct 2015224
Sept 2015223
Aug 2015201
Jul 2015206
Jun 2015207
May 2015207
Apr 2015178
Mar 2015191
Feb 2015186
Jan 2015189

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3362-73-retail-kg.