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Food basket in Batié

SUD-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe).

Not included: cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

4,423–6,588

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

3,951–6,715

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 5,224 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 4,423 and 6,588 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 3,951 and 6,715 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Batié: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet, 1.8 kg Beans (niebe)) cost about 5,224 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 4,423 and 6,588 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 3,951 and 6,715 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,5005,0007,50010,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 4,847–5,816 5,230 4,577–6,286
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 4,629–6,221 5,236 4,161–6,725
Nov 2026
Next month		 4,423–6,588 5,189 3,923–7,453
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 4,200–6,687 5,143 3,553–7,760
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 3,951–6,715 5,191 2,880–8,001
Cost history (140 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20264,960
Aug 20265,224
Jul 20265,247
Jun 20265,453
May 20265,192
Apr 20265,315
Mar 20265,739
Feb 20265,573
Jan 20265,377
Nov 20256,428
Oct 20256,208
Sept 20256,637
Aug 20256,639
Jul 20256,721
Jun 20256,799
May 20256,579
Apr 20256,986
Mar 20257,536
Feb 20257,355
Jan 20256,458
Dec 20247,010
Nov 20248,237
Oct 20247,609
Sept 20247,780
Aug 20246,664
Jul 20245,896
Jun 20245,359
May 20245,431
Apr 20245,332
Mar 20245,132
Feb 20245,028
Jan 20244,924
Dec 20235,649
Nov 20235,831
Oct 20235,938
Sept 20235,704
Aug 20235,758
Jul 20235,611
Jun 20235,524
May 20235,882
Apr 20235,185
Mar 20235,297
Feb 20235,804
Jan 20235,680
Dec 20225,636
Nov 20225,719
Oct 20226,015
Sept 20226,162
Aug 20224,899
Jul 20225,185
Jun 20225,533
May 20225,551
Apr 20225,734
Mar 20224,761
Feb 20224,135
Jan 20223,974
Dec 20214,607
Nov 20214,457
Oct 20215,366
Sept 20215,504
Aug 20214,466
Jul 20214,669
Jun 20214,455
May 20214,265
Apr 20214,053
Mar 20213,727
Feb 20213,455
Jan 20213,358
Dec 20203,697
Nov 20203,849
Oct 20203,716
Sept 20203,266
Aug 20203,064
Jul 20203,111
Jun 20203,306
May 20203,441
Apr 20202,896
Mar 20202,692
Feb 20202,571
Jan 20202,832
Dec 20192,897
Nov 20193,047
Oct 20193,173
Sept 20193,118
Aug 20193,937
Jul 20193,228
Jun 20192,995
May 20193,161
Apr 20193,182
Mar 20193,339
Feb 20192,749
Jan 20192,535
Dec 20183,175
Nov 20183,219
Oct 20183,478
Sept 20183,658
Aug 20183,388
Jul 20183,431
Jun 20183,554
May 20183,343
Apr 20183,406
Mar 20183,612
Feb 20183,070
Jan 20182,886
Dec 20173,162
Nov 20173,047
Oct 20172,998
Sept 20173,246
Aug 20173,133
Jul 20173,103
Jun 20173,234
May 20172,963
Apr 20173,136
Mar 20172,849
Feb 20172,839
Jan 20173,058
Dec 20163,090
Nov 20163,319
Oct 20163,301
Sept 20163,265
Aug 20163,405
Jul 20163,338
Jun 20163,242
May 20163,361
Apr 20163,370
Mar 20163,223
Feb 20163,014
Jan 20163,068
Dec 20152,844
Nov 20153,194
Oct 20153,277
Sept 20153,263
Aug 20152,993
Jul 20153,012
Jun 20153,031
May 20153,024
Apr 20152,658
Mar 20152,765
Feb 20152,743
Jan 20152,723

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burkina Faso

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 83% 96% 4% 2,526
Estimate (this month) 81% 96% 7% 2,519
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,515
In 2 months 79% 94% 13% 2,512
In 3 months 78% 94% 17% 2,508