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Beans (niebe) in Bogandé

EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 6% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

252–527

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

301–609

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

19%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 6% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 252 and 527 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 301 and 609 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 19%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (niebe), Bogandé: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 6% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For beans, across 62 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price fell 2% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 252 and 527 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 301 and 609 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 19%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 384–526 469 347–586 479 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 271–500 366 194–629 347 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 252–527 361 156–698 369 19%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 289–572 400 197–713 435 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 301–609 409 224–728 443 –
Price history (140 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026460
Aug 2026486
Jul 2026502
Jun 2026442
May 2026481
Apr 2026481
Mar 2026515
Feb 2026472
Jan 2026431
Dec 2025431
Nov 2025458
Oct 2025458
Sept 2025692
Aug 2025697
Jul 2025697
Jun 2025688
May 2025680
Apr 2025720
Mar 2025701
Feb 2025658
Jan 2025693
Dec 2024609
Nov 2024642
Oct 2024679
Sept 2024606
Aug 2024573
Jul 2024495
Jun 2024467
May 2024413
Apr 2024343
Mar 2024357
Feb 2024342
Jan 2024382
Dec 2023391
Nov 2023330
Oct 2023288
Sept 2023292
Aug 2023288
Jul 2023292
Jun 2023284
May 2023275
Apr 2023275
Mar 2023275
Feb 2023258
Jan 2023255
Dec 2022259
Nov 2022273
Oct 2022251
Sept 2022443
Aug 2022565
Jul 2022561
Jun 2022516
May 2022518
Apr 2022513
Mar 2022503
Feb 2022487
Jan 2022479
Dec 2021459
Nov 2021399
Oct 2021360
Sept 2021503
Aug 2021470
Jul 2021538
Jun 2021466
May 2021444
Apr 2021450
Mar 2021420
Feb 2021390
Jan 2021360
Dec 2020337
Nov 2020267
Oct 2020278
Sept 2020400
Aug 2020463
Jul 2020433
Jun 2020458
May 2020377
Mar 2020425
Feb 2020404
Jan 2020423
Dec 2019443
Nov 2019313
Oct 2019277
Sept 2019370
Aug 2019498
Jul 2019513
Jun 2019482
May 2019503
Apr 2019490
Mar 2019471
Feb 2019438
Jan 2019468
Dec 2018442
Nov 2018368
Oct 2018315
Sept 2018516
Aug 2018607
Jul 2018522
Jun 2018608
May 2018545
Apr 2018518
Mar 2018540
Feb 2018540
Jan 2018530
Dec 2017508
Nov 2017500
Oct 2017420
Sept 2017515
Aug 2017555
Jul 2017544
Jun 2017523
May 2017530
Apr 2017502
Mar 2017513
Feb 2017517
Jan 2017460
Dec 2016500
Nov 2016245
Oct 2016256
Sept 2016500
Aug 2016540
Jul 2016515
Jun 2016510
May 2016500
Apr 2016498
Mar 2016508
Feb 2016508
Jan 2016495
Dec 2015375
Nov 2015306
Oct 2015500
Sept 2015600
Aug 2015587
Jul 2015562
Jun 2015561
May 2015546
Apr 2015525
Mar 2015525
Feb 2015515
Jan 2015533

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3363-120-retail-kg.