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Maize (white) in Bogandé

EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 29% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

172–241

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

162–258

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 29% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 4% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 172 and 241 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 162 and 258 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Bogandé: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 29% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 4% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 172 and 241 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 162 and 258 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 203–235 217 189–247 312 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 187–240 216 156–241 292 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 172–241 211 132–285 281 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 161–245 209 109–274 273 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 162–258 211 110–344 279 –
Price history (139 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026215
Aug 2026215
Jul 2026215
Jun 2026220
May 2026224
Apr 2026198
Mar 2026197
Feb 2026227
Jan 2026220
Dec 2025220
Nov 2025245
Oct 2025254
Sept 2025272
Aug 2025286
Jul 2025305
Jun 2025304
May 2025296
Apr 2025313
Mar 2025311
Feb 2025303
Jan 2025296
Dec 2024302
Nov 2024302
Oct 2024314
Sept 2024317
Aug 2024318
Jul 2024318
Jun 2024287
May 2024287
Apr 2024287
Mar 2024287
Feb 2024288
Jan 2024280
Dec 2023296
Nov 2023289
Oct 2023293
Sept 2023310
Aug 2023310
Jul 2023310
Jun 2023310
May 2023310
Apr 2023306
Mar 2023290
Feb 2023280
Jan 2023256
Dec 2022251
Nov 2022249
Oct 2022287
Sept 2022310
Aug 2022340
Jul 2022340
Jun 2022331
May 2022304
Apr 2022305
Mar 2022288
Feb 2022266
Jan 2022266
Dec 2021266
Nov 2021262
Oct 2021220
Sept 2021213
Aug 2021213
Jul 2021214
Jun 2021221
May 2021236
Apr 2021235
Mar 2021221
Feb 2021204
Jan 2021194
Dec 2020173
Nov 2020173
Oct 2020188
Sept 2020238
Aug 2020221
Jul 2020208
Jun 2020208
May 2020194
Mar 2020191
Feb 2020199
Jan 2020187
Dec 2019192
Nov 2019192
Oct 2019194
Sept 2019208
Aug 2019208
Jul 2019203
Jun 2019196
May 2019194
Apr 2019198
Mar 2019188
Feb 2019178
Jan 2019177
Dec 2018162
Nov 2018190
Oct 2018225
Sept 2018236
Aug 2018231
Jul 2018248
Jun 2018237
May 2018235
Apr 2018222
Mar 2018223
Feb 2018223
Jan 2018220
Dec 2017222
Nov 2017235
Oct 2017236
Sept 2017230
Aug 2017235
Jul 2017220
Jun 2017220
May 2017208
Apr 2017206
Mar 2017200
Feb 2017200
Jan 2017180
Dec 2016160
Nov 2016160
Oct 2016172
Sept 2016200
Aug 2016200
Jul 2016208
Jun 2016200
May 2016192
Apr 2016190
Mar 2016220
Feb 2016206
Jan 2016204
Dec 2015205
Nov 2015203
Oct 2015219
Sept 2015232
Aug 2015230
Jul 2015225
Jun 2015224
May 2015221
Apr 2015217
Mar 2015218
Feb 2015220

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3363-67-retail-kg.