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Millet in Bogandé

EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 23% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

245–396

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

230–421

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 2% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 245 and 396 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 230 and 421 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Bogandé: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 2% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 245 and 396 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 230 and 421 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 302–370 333 263–416 445 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 277–395 332 226–473 429 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 245–396 322 165–527 397 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 228–406 315 138–571 384 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 230–421 319 145–585 397 –
Price history (140 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026332
Aug 2026333
Jul 2026330
Jun 2026313
May 2026326
Apr 2026347
Mar 2026350
Feb 2026382
Jan 2026381
Dec 2025363
Nov 2025396
Oct 2025429
Sept 2025433
Aug 2025474
Jul 2025467
Jun 2025475
May 2025477
Apr 2025478
Mar 2025477
Feb 2025477
Jan 2025446
Dec 2024449
Nov 2024463
Oct 2024482
Sept 2024485
Aug 2024458
Jul 2024418
Jun 2024396
May 2024378
Apr 2024360
Mar 2024334
Feb 2024307
Jan 2024304
Dec 2023304
Nov 2023286
Oct 2023286
Sept 2023286
Aug 2023286
Jul 2023286
Jun 2023286
May 2023286
Apr 2023285
Mar 2023263
Feb 2023264
Jan 2023253
Dec 2022230
Nov 2022331
Oct 2022391
Sept 2022403
Aug 2022412
Jul 2022394
Jun 2022364
May 2022426
Apr 2022452
Mar 2022366
Feb 2022314
Jan 2022304
Dec 2021304
Nov 2021280
Oct 2021236
Sept 2021207
Aug 2021247
Jul 2021244
Jun 2021256
May 2021196
Apr 2021196
Mar 2021183
Feb 2021179
Jan 2021179
Dec 2020177
Nov 2020166
Oct 2020181
Sept 2020241
Aug 2020208
Jul 2020196
Jun 2020196
May 2020163
Mar 2020169
Feb 2020169
Jan 2020166
Dec 2019171
Nov 2019165
Oct 2019189
Sept 2019206
Aug 2019197
Jul 2019180
Jun 2019177
May 2019161
Apr 2019214
Mar 2019198
Feb 2019181
Jan 2019182
Dec 2018179
Nov 2018196
Oct 2018241
Sept 2018261
Aug 2018262
Jul 2018259
Jun 2018268
May 2018259
Apr 2018265
Mar 2018299
Feb 2018308
Jan 2018271
Dec 2017256
Nov 2017240
Oct 2017288
Sept 2017260
Aug 2017263
Jul 2017238
Jun 2017231
May 2017226
Apr 2017221
Mar 2017219
Feb 2017221
Jan 2017197
Dec 2016171
Nov 2016185
Oct 2016196
Sept 2016214
Aug 2016231
Jul 2016232
Jun 2016233
May 2016228
Apr 2016221
Mar 2016227
Feb 2016223
Jan 2016219
Dec 2015213
Nov 2015209
Oct 2015226
Sept 2015229
Aug 2015231
Jul 2015238
Jun 2015233
May 2015230
Apr 2015222
Mar 2015220
Feb 2015215
Jan 2015195

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3363-73-retail-kg.