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Sorghum (white) in Boromo

BOUCLE DU MOUHOUN, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 32% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

147–201

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

134–210

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 32% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 9% over the 3 months before. For sorghum, across 59 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 147 and 201 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 134 and 210 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Sorghum (white), Boromo: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 32% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 9% over the 3 months before. For sorghum, across 59 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 147 and 201 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 134 and 210 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 165–194 176 149–204 274 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 155–199 175 130–208 271 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 147–201 174 128–212 261 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 132–207 171 94.9–243 236 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 134–210 173 100–244 242 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026175
Aug 2026176
Jul 2026177
Jun 2026179
May 2026194
Apr 2026194
Mar 2026193
Feb 2026191
Jan 2026190
Dec 2025186
Nov 2025218
Oct 2025212
Sept 2025218
Aug 2025249
Jul 2025251
Jun 2025269
May 2025269
Apr 2025272
Mar 2025287
Feb 2025264
Jan 2025246
Dec 2024226
Nov 2024278
Oct 2024306
Sept 2024310
Aug 2024285
Jul 2024265
Jun 2024255
May 2024237
Apr 2024228
Mar 2024220
Feb 2024222
Jan 2024222
Dec 2023222
Nov 2023226
Oct 2023241
Sept 2023241
Aug 2023232
Jul 2023232
Jun 2023228
May 2023221
Apr 2023241
Mar 2023241
Feb 2023241
Jan 2023244
Dec 2022259
Nov 2022278
Oct 2022263
Sept 2022283
Aug 2022291
Jul 2022287
Jun 2022275
May 2022270
Apr 2022264
Mar 2022186
Feb 2022170
Jan 2022162
Dec 2021162
Nov 2021166
Oct 2021178
Sept 2021181
Aug 2021175
Jul 2021179
Jun 2021179
May 2021179
Apr 2021174
Mar 2021166
Feb 2021135
Jan 2021135
Dec 2020101
Nov 2020128
Oct 2020128
Sept 2020128
Aug 2020128
Jul 2020129
Jun 2020129
May 2020130
Apr 2020130
Mar 2020116
Feb 2020126
Jan 2020119
Dec 2019125
Nov 2019117
Oct 2019123
Sept 2019117
Aug 2019123
Jul 2019128
Jun 2019141
May 2019130
Apr 2019126
Mar 2019120
Feb 2019120
Jan 2019120
Dec 2018142
Nov 2018184
Oct 2018187
Sept 2018187
Aug 2018183
Jul 2018189
Jun 2018189
May 2018182
Apr 2018177
Mar 2018179
Feb 2018168
Jan 2018157
Dec 2017137
Nov 2017142
Oct 2017155
Sept 2017151
Aug 2017141
Jul 2017146
Jun 2017146
May 2017146
Apr 2017144
Mar 2017137
Feb 2017133
Jan 2017123
Dec 2016120
Nov 2016131
Oct 2016141
Sept 2016146
Aug 2016148
Jul 2016143
Jun 2016141
May 2016133
Apr 2016133
Mar 2016134
Feb 2016128
Jan 2016122
Dec 2015126
Nov 2015134
Oct 2015143
Sept 2015149
Aug 2015147
Jul 2015140
Jun 2015140
May 2015140
Apr 2015136
Mar 2015132
Feb 2015129
Jan 2015114

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3364-135-retail-kg.