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Maize (white) in Boromo

BOUCLE DU MOUHOUN, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 33% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

134–190

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

126–202

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 33% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 2% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 134 and 190 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 126 and 202 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Boromo: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 33% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 2% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 134 and 190 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 126 and 202 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 159–187 173 142–188 268 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 149–189 173 124–191 261 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 134–190 168 111–226 240 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 123–194 165 80–228 233 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 126–202 167 91.6–252 240 –
Price history (141 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026172
Aug 2026172
Jul 2026156
Jun 2026161
May 2026176
Apr 2026186
Mar 2026182
Feb 2026182
Jan 2026181
Dec 2025179
Nov 2025175
Oct 2025206
Sept 2025222
Aug 2025246
Jul 2025249
Jun 2025254
May 2025258
Apr 2025271
Mar 2025270
Feb 2025264
Jan 2025245
Dec 2024225
Nov 2024259
Oct 2024300
Sept 2024295
Aug 2024291
Jul 2024273
Jun 2024236
May 2024218
Apr 2024218
Mar 2024217
Feb 2024214
Jan 2024214
Dec 2023214
Nov 2023218
Oct 2023232
Sept 2023236
Aug 2023232
Jul 2023232
Jun 2023232
May 2023233
Apr 2023250
Mar 2023253
Feb 2023247
Jan 2023235
Dec 2022216
Nov 2022216
Oct 2022255
Sept 2022278
Aug 2022287
Jul 2022287
Jun 2022284
May 2022272
Apr 2022269
Mar 2022242
Feb 2022233
Jan 2022228
Dec 2021215
Nov 2021215
Oct 2021215
Sept 2021217
Aug 2021203
Jul 2021196
Jun 2021196
May 2021198
Apr 2021179
Mar 2021174
Feb 2021165
Jan 2021159
Dec 2020155
Nov 2020163
Oct 2020163
Sept 2020163
Aug 2020163
Jul 2020138
Jun 2020134
May 2020135
Apr 2020134
Mar 2020122
Feb 2020137
Jan 2020120
Dec 2019120
Nov 2019123
Oct 2019124
Sept 2019127
Aug 2019132
Jul 2019126
Jun 2019132
May 2019139
Apr 2019137
Mar 2019135
Feb 2019135
Jan 2019135
Dec 2018135
Nov 2018137
Oct 2018167
Sept 2018180
Aug 2018188
Jul 2018178
Jun 2018180
May 2018178
Apr 2018179
Mar 2018168
Feb 2018170
Jan 2018158
Dec 2017160
Nov 2017167
Oct 2017177
Sept 2017167
Aug 2017156
Jul 2017162
Jun 2017157
May 2017157
Apr 2017157
Mar 2017150
Feb 2017148
Jan 2017140
Dec 2016132
Nov 2016138
Oct 2016138
Sept 2016150
Aug 2016155
Jul 2016158
Jun 2016158
May 2016151
Apr 2016146
Mar 2016146
Feb 2016141
Jan 2016135
Dec 2015128
Nov 2015132
Oct 2015146
Sept 2015157
Aug 2015158
Jul 2015156
Jun 2015153
May 2015143
Apr 2015136
Mar 2015136
Feb 2015132
Jan 2015116

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-3364-67-retail-kg.